2026 Elections

The fight for Congress

The 2026 U.S. Senate and competitive House races — the Senate outlook, the battlegrounds, and, with the primaries concluded, the general-election matchups now set for the November 3 ballot. Sourced from FEC filings and public reporting; refreshed on a schedule. Each race links to its candidates and the network money behind them.

The fight for the Senate

35 seats on the 2026 ballot

12 safe/likely D · 1 lean D · 7 toss-up · 0 lean R · 15 safe/likely R. Toss-ups decide control.

Likely D3
Lean D1
Lean R
—
Likely R2

* special election · click a state to jump to the race

Top races

the battlegrounds
Alaska U.S. Senate

Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan seeks a third term against former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola, who led the Aug. 18 top-four primary with 49.5% to Sullivan's 41.4%. The general election uses ranked-choice voting. Cook and Inside Elections rate the race a Toss-up, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DMary Peltola$19M · $4.6M COHwon · 49.5%
  • RDan Sullivan· inc$9.1M · $7.3M COHadvanced · 41.4%
  • RHEIKES, GERALD L. (JERRY)advanced · 1.1%
  • DLESLIE, DAVID BRYANwithdrew · 1.1%
  • DHAFNER, CAROLlost · 0.6%
  • RMCELWAIN, HEATHER Glost · 0.6%
  • RHOUSE DARDEN, DUSTIN THOMASlost · 0.5%
  • LKOHLHAAS, SCOTT A.lost · 0.5%
  • NROBERTS, REECElost · 0.4%
  • DDIENER, ANNwithdrew
  • RMIKLOS, CHRISTOPHERwithdrew
Maine U.S. Senate

Five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins won her June 9 primary unopposed. Democratic primary winner Graham Platner withdrew in July amid a sexual-assault accusation and other controversies, and a July 25 party convention chose former state Senate President Troy Jackson as the replacement nominee. Cook, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the race a Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • RSusan Collins· inc$16M · $11M COHwon · 100%
  • DTroy Jacksonadvanced
  • DGraham Platner$21M · $1.8M COHwithdrew · 72%
  • DLAFLAMME, ANDREA$16K · $10K COHlost · 0.5%
  • DALCALA, NATASHAwithdrew
  • UALCORN, ETHAN WELD MRwithdrew
  • DBELLOWS, SHENNA$381K · $136 COHwithdrew
  • RCALABRESE, CARMEM VINCENT MR.$18K · $-3500 COHwithdrew
  • RCALABRESE, CARMEN VINCENT MR.$18K · $-3500 COHwithdrew
  • DDavid Costello$154K · $0 COHlost
  • IEVANS, DAVID ALAN$6K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DFAVREAU, TUCKER$14K · $7 COHwithdrew
  • DJanet Mills$6.1M · $103K COHlost
  • DKLEBAN, DAN$459K · $87 COHwithdrew
  • DLOUD, PAIGE$61K · $5K COHwithdrew
  • IRENCH, PHILLIP$55K · $8K COHwithdrew
  • URICH, TIMOTHYwithdrew
  • DRODRIGUEZ, DAIRA$243K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DSHAH, NIRAVwithdrew
  • RSMERIGLIO, DANIEL Cwithdrew
  • DWOOD, JORDAN$6.0M · $198K COHwithdrew
Michigan U.S. Senate

This open seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, is the only Democratic-held Senate seat up in a state Trump won in 2024. Abdul El-Sayed narrowly won the Aug. 4 Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens, 48.5% to 47.6%, and faces former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers, who was unopposed for the Republican nomination. Cook rates the race a Toss-up, while Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Lean D.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • DAbdul El-Sayed$15M · $2.6M COHwon · 48.5%
  • RMike Rogers$11M · $4.5M COHwon
  • LCHRISTENSEN, LYDIA LYNN
  • GMARSH, DOUGLAS PHILIP
  • ISHERMAN, JASON
  • IWILLIS, VALERIE LEE
  • DMallory McMorrow$11M · $1.9M COHwithdrew · 4%
  • DPETERS, GARY· inc$248K · $6.5M COHwithdrew
  • RBENHAM, KENTwithdrew
  • RBRAGGS, MARNISHA BRECHEwithdrew
  • DHaley Stevens$12M · $2.8M COHlost
  • RHEURTEBISE, FREDERICK$10K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DHOWARD, RACHEL ELIZABETH$11K · $5K COHwithdrew
  • DJoe Tate$244K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • IJOHNSON II, CRAIG HENLEY MR IIwithdrew
  • RKAMAL, ANDREWwithdrew
  • TKOVALY, ROBERTwithdrew
  • RSCOTT, GENEVIEVE$83K · $3K COHwithdrew
  • RSMITH, BERNADETTE$77K · $4K COHwithdrew
  • NSTEPHENS, THOMAS WAYNE$1K · $780 COHwithdrew
  • DZOLLNER, TRAVIS JOSEPHwithdrew
Ohio U.S. Senate (Special)

This special election fills the remainder of J.D. Vance's term after he became vice president; Republican Jon Husted was appointed by Gov. DeWine in January 2025 and won his primary unopposed. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, who lost his seat in 2024, won the Democratic nomination with about 89% and is attempting a comeback, making this a Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
Georgia U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff, unopposed in his primary, defends one of only two Democratic-held seats in a state Trump carried in 2024. Republicans went to a June 16 runoff, where Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Mike Collins beat Derek Dooley with 55.5% to win the nomination; forecasters lean the general slightly to Ossoff.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RMike Collins$7.4M · $2.1M COHwon · 55.5%
  • DJon Ossoff· inc$77M · $43M COHwon
  • IBARTELL, ELBERT
  • RCLEMENT, CHRISTINA LOREN REV DR TRUSTE
  • RMCCOLUMN, JONATHAN MR$36K · $12K COHlost · 3.1%
  • RCOYNE, JOHN F IIIlost · 1.1%
  • RBOX, REAGAN$82K · $-200 COHwithdrew
  • RBRIGMAN, BRADLEYwithdrew
  • RBuddy Carter$7.3M · $60K COHlost
  • RBURTON, MARQUETT DAVONwithdrew
  • RCAPPARELL, CHRISTOPHER PAULwithdrew
  • RCHAPMAN, CHRISTOPH LA'FLAREwithdrew
  • RDerek Dooley$4.7M · $351K COHlost
  • IJACKSON, DEVELLE LAVAUGHNwithdrew
  • RJohn King$563K · $0 COHlost
  • DLEGETTE, KIAwithdrew
  • RPILE, CHELSAEwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
  • RTEMPLE, RICKwithdrew
  • RWATKINS, VINSON Lwithdrew
Iowa U.S. Senate

Republican Joni Ernst's decision not to seek a third term opened this seat in an increasingly red state. Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson won the GOP primary with 73.9%, and state Rep. Josh Turek won the Democratic nomination with about 63%; Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race a Toss-up, while Inside Elections rates it Tilt R.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
North Carolina U.S. Senate

This open seat opened when Republican Thom Tillis declined to seek a third term after opposing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Popular former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper won his primary with 92% and Trump-endorsed former RNC chair Michael Whatley took the GOP nod with 64.6%; Cooper's strength has forecasters leaning the seat toward a Democratic flip.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DRoy Cooper$35M · $21M COHwon · 92%
  • RMichael Whatley$11M · $3.5M COHwon · 64.6%
  • LBRAY, SHANNON
  • GDUBLIN, MICHAEL LOUIS JR.$25K · $10K COH
  • RJOHNSON, THOMAS LEE$7K · $0 COHlost · 5.7%
  • RMORROW, MICHELE$13K · $-187 COHlost · 5.6%
  • RTEMPLE, ELIZABETH A.lost · 3.8%
  • DDUES, JUSTINlost · 2.7%
  • DWILLIAMS, MARCUS W.$6K · $0 COHlost · 2.5%
  • RDANSIE, RICHARD$2K · $630 COHlost · 2.4%
  • RDUPRE, MARGOTlost · 2.4%
  • DFARROW, DARYLlost · 1.2%
  • DQUICK, ORRICK ROMAINElost · 0.9%
  • DCOLON, ROBERTlost · 0.8%
  • RTILLIS, THOM R SEN· inc$4.7M · $3.6M COHwithdrew
  • RAGNEW, BROOKS ALEXANDERwithdrew
  • OCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLASwithdrew
  • IDEBERRY, SHAUNESI YVETTEwithdrew
  • RDon Brown$225K · $0 COHlost
  • DHAMMOND, ALYSSIA ROSE-KATHERINEwithdrew
  • OJOHNSON, CONSTANCE "CONNIE"withdrew
  • RKEENER, LOGAN BENJAMIN DRwithdrew
  • GMCGINNIS, BRIAN$68K · $-13363 COHwithdrew
  • DNICKEL, WILEY$589K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RNILSSON, ROBERT ANDERS MRwithdrew
  • RSIBHATU, LICHIA WOLDEGABREALwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
New Hampshire U.S. Senate

Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open seat. Rep. Chris Pappas won the Sept. 8 Democratic primary with 65%, and former Sen. John E. Sununu won the Republican primary with 68.5% over former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown. Cook rates the race Lean D, Inside Elections rates it a Toss-up, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely D.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 8 · results›
  • DChris Pappas$15M · $4.3M COHwon
  • RJohn E. Sununu$4.2M · $3.1M COHwon
  • RLAPLANTE, EDMOND
  • RMORSE, CHUCK
  • DMANZUR, KARISHMA$415K · $104K COHlost · 32.7%
  • RMARTIN, ANDYlost · 0.7%
  • DSAAL, MAXWELL LEAVYlost · 0.6%
  • DSHAHEEN, JEANNE· inc$173K · $872K COHwithdrew
  • NGIOVONIZZI, MATTHEW S$4K · $1K COHwithdrew
  • RINNIS, DAN$49K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RLAMARE, DENNISwithdrew
  • RScott Brown$2.2M · $417K COHlost
  • RSIVALINGAM, TEJASINHAwithdrew
  • DSULLIVAN, JARED$100K · $0 COHwithdrew
Texas U.S. Senate

Four-term Republican incumbent John Cornyn was denied renomination, losing a May 26 runoff to Trump-endorsed Attorney General Ken Paxton (63.8%) after a bruising primary that also included U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt. State Rep. James Talarico won the Democratic primary outright (about 53%) over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett; the Paxton nomination gives Democrats an opening, and Cook and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race a Toss-up while Inside Elections rates it Tilt R.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RKen Paxton$9.2M · $1.8M COHwon · 63.8%
  • DJames Talarico$69M · $22M COHwon · 53%
  • LTed Brown$7K · $1K COHadvanced
  • CBROWN GAINES, JENNIFER TAWANDA DR. @ LAW DISTRICT 3
  • WHALL, BRADFORD WINSTON
  • UHUSE, RODGER
  • ISIMMONS, JADE$9K · $956 COH
  • DJasmine Crockett$11M · $0 COHlost · 45%
  • LSIMS, DANIEL M$12K · $200 COHlost · 30.2%
  • DHASSAN, AHMADlost · 1.3%
  • RCANADY, SARA LARUE$770 · $-430 COHlost · 1.2%
  • RBENDER, ANNAlost · 1.1%
  • RKHAN, GULREZ$11K · $-646 COHlost · 0.7%
  • RADEFOPE, JOHNlost · 0.4%
  • RBIERSCHWALE, VIRGIL$10K · $383 COHlost · 0.4%
  • RJohn Cornyn· inc$8.6M · $542K COHlost
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DALLRED, COLIN$7.6M · $708 COHwithdrew
  • RALVAREZ, ANDREWwithdrew
  • ICAIN, JOSHUAwithdrew
  • RDUNCAN, ALEXANDERwithdrew
  • IEVANS, RONALD JRwithdrew
  • NFORD, CAMENCIAwithdrew
  • RMANN, RENNIE HILLwithdrew
  • RMCNABB, BARRETT ANTHONYwithdrew
  • DMORGUL, EMILYwithdrew
  • RSCHMOKER, TONY$3K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
  • DSWANSON, MICHAEL$7K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RTRAKAS, ANDREW KYLEwithdrew
  • NTRUELSON, HANSwithdrew
  • DVIRTS, TERRY$665K · $3K COHwithdrew
  • RWesley Hunt$2.1M · $29K COHlost
  • DWILLIAMS, PAULA STEPHEN MSwithdrew
  • RWYATT, DOC LEO DRwithdrew
Minnesota U.S. Senate

DFL Sen. Tina Smith's retirement created Minnesota's first open Senate seat since 2006. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan won the Aug. 11 DFL primary over Rep. Angie Craig, 59.0% to 39.4%, and faces Republican Michele Tafoya, who won her primary with 52.1%. Cook rates the race Likely D, while Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Lean D.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›
  • DPeggy Flanagan$6.5M · $1.1M COHwon · 59%
  • RMichele Tafoya$5.3M · $1.4M COHwon · 52.1%
  • NSIMONETTI, MARISA
  • LWHITING, REBECCA$1K · $1K COH
  • RWEILER, TOM$221K · $122K COHlost · 6%
  • DNORD, BILLYlost · 0.4%
  • DSMITH, TINA· inc$49K · $201K COHwithdrew
  • RAdam Schwarze$1.4M · $184K COHlost
  • DAngie Craig$13M · $3.6M COHlost
  • RBROOKS, CHRISTOPHER JARREDwithdrew
  • RGRUENHAGEN, ALYCIAwithdrew
  • RHANN, DAVID W$133K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DLOPEZ FRANZEN, MELISA$299K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RPETERSEN, RAYMOND DAVID$973 · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RRoyce White$662K · $36K COHlost
  • RRUOHO, MIKEwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
  • UTAMBORNINO, EDWARD HAROLDwithdrew
  • RYORK, MARK$74K · $5K COHwithdrew

Senate — the rest of the map

Kansas U.S. Senate

Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, who won his Aug. 4 primary with 79.9%, faces Democrat Adam Hamilton, a pastor and founder of the Church of the Resurrection, and Libertarian David C. Graham. As of October 2026, Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race a Toss-up, while Inside Elections rates it Likely R.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RRoger Marshall· inc$4.0M · $5.4M COHwon
  • DAdam Hamilton$4.2M · $1.7M COHwon
  • DDAVIS, CHRISTY$194K · $86K COHlost · 14.2%
  • DTAYLOR, NOAH$162K · $13K COHlost · 13.6%
  • DPARELKAR, LOIS ANNE ELIZABETH LEA$33K · $3K COHlost · 7.5%
  • DMURRAY, ERIK$213K · $12K COHlost · 6.8%
  • DSPIDEL NEUMANN, SANDY$411K · $161K COHlost · 5.7%
  • DHART, JASON$51K · $547 COHlost · 5.5%
  • DLATZ, KEVIN$40K · $75K COHlost · 1.8%
  • DSOETAERT, MICHAELlost · 1.7%
  • RLAPORTE, CHASEwithdrew
  • DPatrick Schmidt$256K · $5K COHlost
Nebraska U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts, seeking his first full term after winning a 2024 special election, won his primary with about 82%. The competitive dynamic is independent Dan Osborn, who qualified for the ballot by petition and polls close to Ricketts; Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank has pledged to drop out to consolidate support behind Osborn. Rated Likely R.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • RPete Ricketts· inc$11M · $6.9M COHwon · 81.5%
  • IDan Osborn$5.8M · $2.4M COH
  • OMARVIN, MIKE$28K · $0 COH
  • DCindy Burbank$40K · $21K COHwithdrew · 89.5%
  • DWilliam Forbes$1K · $0 COHlost · 10.5%
  • RAXTELL SCHULTZ, DEBRA LEANNE MSlost · 6%
  • RSTEVENS, MAClost · 2.6%
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLASwithdrew
  • RDUNN, EDWARD MR.withdrew
  • RSASSE, BENJAMIN E.$30K · $2.3M COHwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
South Carolina U.S. Senate

Sen. Lindsey Graham won the June 9 Republican primary but died in July 2026, and Gov. Henry McMaster appointed his sister, Darline Graham, to the seat. Darline Graham led the Aug. 11 special Republican primary and won the Aug. 25 runoff over Rep. Ralph Norman with about 52.5%. She faces Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews on Nov. 3.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DAnnie Andrews$11M · $4.1M COHwon · 61.5%
  • RDarline Graham· inc$347K · $251K COHwon · 52.4%
  • LWHITENER, KASIE DR.$17K · $3K COH
  • RGRAHAM, LINDSEY O.· inc$6.8M · $2.3M COHwithdrew · 56.8%
  • DBROWN, BRANDON$86K · $0 COHlost · 30.2%
  • RLYNCH, MARK$5.9M · $547K COHlost · 28.9%
  • DFREEMAN, KYLE ODONNELL$44K · $2K COHlost · 8.3%
  • RDISMUKES, THOMAS KEITH$25K · $10 COHlost · 5.2%
  • RHERRMANN, PATRICK JOSEPH$17K · $10 COHlost · 3.8%
  • RCOWEN, CALVIN$13K · $2K COHlost · 3%
  • RMITCHELL, DARIUS L.lost · 2.3%
  • RBAUER, ANDRE$216K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • LBRENKUS, JASON ELLIOTlost
  • DBRUCE, CATHERINE FLEMING MS.$19K · $16K COHwithdrew
  • RDANS, PAUL$1.1M · $122K COHwithdrew
  • NELLISON, JACKwithdrew
  • DGIRACELLO, CHRISTOPHERwithdrew
  • IGLASER, CINDY Ewithdrew
  • RHOLLIMAN, ETHAN CLAYwithdrew
  • DJOHNSON, LEE$569K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • ILOUIS, DONAVAN ARTHUR MR$3K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • ISEDLETSKY, PAULwithdrew
  • ISTRUNGE, EDWARD IVwithdrew
  • IWRIGHT-MCDONALD, REECEwithdrew
Alabama U.S. Senate

Open seat as GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville runs for governor; Rep. Barry Moore won the June 16 Republican runoff to face Democrat Everett Wess.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBarry Moore$3.8M · $628K COHwon · 55.8%
  • DEverett Wess$81K · $18K COHwon · 54.6%
  • DWHEELER, MARK SHANNON MR II$17K · $566 COHlost · 17.4%
  • DSWEETSER, KYLE$166K · $3K COHlost · 13.9%
  • RWALKER, RODNEY$2.0M · $0 COHlost · 4.1%
  • RBURTON, MATTHEW SETH$74K · $0 COHlost · 3.1%
  • RMURPHY, MORGAN W. W.$1.3M · $105K COHwithdrew · 1.3%
  • RTUBERVILLE, THOMAS H· inc$726K · $67K COHwithdrew
  • RCOLBERT, MICHAELwithdrew
  • DDakarai Larriett$154K · $2K COHlost
  • DGLASGOW, VALMA K$294 · $100 COHwithdrew
  • DHOWARD, JAMES GREGORY MR JRwithdrew
  • RJared Hudson$1.9M · $114K COHlost
  • DLAVENDER, LAMONTwithdrew
  • RSteve Marshall$1.3M · $0 COHlost
Arkansas U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Tom Cotton easily won renomination for a third term; Democrat Hallie Shoffner won her primary in a state Democrats have not carried for Senate since 2008.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTom Cotton· inc$6.2M · $9.9M COHwon · 81.64%
  • DHallie Shoffner$2.3M · $864K COHwon · 78.27%
  • LWADLIN, JEFFREY FRANCIS$29K · $8K COH
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • DEthan Dunbar$17K · $1K COHlost · 21.73%
  • RASHBY, MICAH$41K · $754 COHlost
  • RLITTLE, JEB$93K · $127 COHlost
  • DPITTMAN, JONATHANwithdrew
  • DRUSSELL, JAMES RICHARD MR III$3K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DWHITFIELD, DANIEL ALLEN$353 · $2K COHwithdrew
Colorado U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper won a contested primary for a second term and faces Republican state senator Mark Baisley.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • DJohn Hickenlooper· inc$8.1M · $2.1M COHwon · 52.8%
  • RMark Baisley$138K · $50K COHwon
  • OCHEW, BOB$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • UWITHROW, ADAM
  • FCHEW, ROBERT$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • DJulie Gonzales$979K · $144K COHlost · 47.2%
  • DBRESLIN, KAREN$165K · $2K COHlost
  • RCALDERON, AMANDA J JILLIAN MRSlost
  • IDALE, CLINTON ROOSEVELTwithdrew
  • DHASLEY, BRASHAD D$20K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RJONES, DATHAN CHARLES$25 · $45 COHwithdrew
  • RJOSHI, JANAK$486K · $0 COHlost
  • IKUEBLER, JOSHUA WILLIAMwithdrew
  • RMARKERT, GEORGE WASHINGTON MR V$315K · $0 COHlost
  • DMINER, NICHOLEwithdrew
  • CPOND, SEAN M.$31K · $0 COHlost
  • DSCANLON, MICHAELwithdrew
  • DWILLIAMS, JESSICAlost
  • IWOOD, MATTHEW$5K · $753 COHwithdrew
  • DZIMPFER, ANTHONY JACOB$4K · $0 COHwithdrew
Delaware U.S. Senate

Democratic Sen. Chris Coons, seeking a third full term, won the Sept. 15 primary with about 78%. He faces Republican Michael Katz, a physician and former Democratic state senator who defeated retired Army Col. John Shulli for the GOP nomination.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 15 · results›
  • DChris Coons· inc$4.2M · $4.8M COHwon · 78%
  • RMichael Katz$159K · $98K COHwon · 77.3%
  • DSTEVENS, TRAVIS
  • DLOUVE, MARYlost · 7.5%
  • DBEARDSLEY, CHRISTOPHER MR.$22K · $9K COHwithdrew
  • IBLAND, DEXTERwithdrew
  • RCOPPOLA, ALECwithdrew
  • RJohn Shulli$118K · $8K COHlost
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Florida U.S. Senate (Special)

Special election for the final two years of Marco Rubio's term, which he left to become Secretary of State. Appointed Republican Sen. Ashley Moody won the GOP nomination against minimal opposition, and Angie Nixon won the Aug. 18 Democratic primary with 56.1%.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
Idaho U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Jim Risch won renomination for a fourth term; Democrat David Roth advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1974.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RJim Risch· inc$3.4M · $3.5M COHwon · 67.3%
  • UFLEMING, NATALIE M
  • ITodd Achilles$692K · $194K COH
  • DDavid Roth$15K · $279 COHwithdrew · 61.9%
  • RROY, JOSHUA S$57K · $4K COHlost · 14.3%
  • REVANS, JOE$8K · $91 COHlost · 14.1%
  • DBONDS, NICKOLASlost · 7%
  • RLAVE, DENNY$171K · $0 COHlost · 4.4%
Illinois U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Dick Durbin retiring; Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won a competitive Democratic primary over Reps. Krishnamoorthi and Kelly, and faces Republican Don Tracy.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 17 · results›
  • DJuliana Stratton$5.9M · $1.1M COHwon · 40.4%
  • RDon Tracy$2.5M · $1.5M COHwon · 40%
  • IHARRINGTON, WHITFIELD MR JR$101K · $4K COH
  • OSCHILLING, JOSEPH DAVID
  • ISCHWARTZBERG, STEVEN J$6K · $6K COH
  • RCHLEBEK, CASIMER MR.$202K · $27 COHlost · 11.2%
  • RCAPPARELLI, R CARY$13K · $829 COHlost · 10.6%
  • RLONG, PAMELA$25K · $2K COHlost · 10%
  • RTILLMAN, JIMMY LEE IIlost · 5.6%
  • DRYAN, KEVIN$139K · $-10051 COHlost · 4.9%
  • DMAXWELL, BRYAN$22K · $1K COHlost · 0.8%
  • DBUSTOS, AWISI$42K · $0 COHlost · 0.6%
  • DSWANN, CHRISTOPHER ALEXANDER$18K · $-409 COHlost · 0.6%
  • DDEAN, JONATHAN$124K · $13K COHlost · 0.5%
  • DBOTSFORD, STEVE$373K · $100 COHlost · 0.4%
  • DDURBIN, RICHARD J.· inc$80K · $1.0M COHwithdrew
  • RBARTZIS, PANAGIOTI JOHN MRwithdrew
  • RBENNETT, DOUGLAS$1K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DDELGADO, ADAM$59K · $3K COHwithdrew
  • RGOODMAN, JOHN$29K · $6K COHwithdrew
  • RJeannie Evans$1.3M · $3K COHlost
  • RJONES, LLOYDwithdrew
  • DLEAVELL, STANLEY MR.withdrew
  • IMINK, AUSTIN JAMESwithdrew
  • IMUHAMMAD, TYRONEwithdrew
  • RORTEGA, JANUARIO MR.withdrew
  • DPALMER, ROBERT A MRwithdrew
  • DRaja Krishnamoorthi$32M · $75K COHlost
  • DRobin Kelly$3.5M · $4K COHlost
  • DRODRIQUEZ, ADAIR$236 · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DSHEPHERD, JUMP WESLEY$4K · $-7594 COHwithdrew
  • ISMITH, ANTHONY J MRwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Kentucky U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Mitch McConnell retiring; Trump-backed Rep. Andy Barr won the GOP primary and faces Democrat Charles Booker.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RAndy Barr$10.0M · $2.3M COHwon · 60.5%
  • DCharles Booker$1.1M · $310K COHwon · 47%
  • OCAMPBELL, CHRISTOPHER TODD
  • DROMANS, DALE$838K · $167K COHlost · 4.1%
  • DFORSYTHE, LOGAN$47K · $3K COHlost · 2.9%
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL$62K · $-16841 COHlost · 2.4%
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL JAMES$62K · $-16841 COHlost · 2.4%
  • DTHOMPSON, VINCENT ANTHONYlost · 2.1%
  • RCATLETT, ANISSAlost · 1%
  • RDUNCAN, JAMES Dlost · 0.8%
  • RSHELLEY, *ANDREW NICHOLASlost · 0.6%
  • RWENZEL, DONALD RAY$3K · $0 COHlost · 0.2%
  • RMCCONNELL, MITCH· inc$217K · $7.3M COHwithdrew
  • DAmy McGrath$2.4M · $3K COHlost
  • RDaniel Cameron$2.3M · $8K COHlost
  • IDUNCAN, SCOTT MICHEALwithdrew
  • RKENNEDY, WENDE CAROL MSwithdrew
  • RNate Morris$8.6M · $383K COHlost
  • DPamela Stevenson$311K · $-13505 COHlost
  • DRANDALL, JAREDwithdrew
  • RTRIMBLE, JACOB DANIELwithdrew
  • DWILLETT, JOEL$350K · $29K COHwithdrew
Louisiana U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Bill Cassidy was denied renomination under Louisiana's new partisan-primary system; Rep. Julia Letlow won the June 27 runoff and faces Democrat Jamie Davis.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 16 · results›
  • DJamie Davis$2.0M · $479K COHwon · 79.9%
  • RJulia Letlow$6.2M · $1.4M COHwon · 56.9%
  • RJohn Fleming$12M · $40K COHlost · 28.3%
  • DALBARES, NICHOLAS S.$143K · $0 COHlost · 26.2%
  • RBill Cassidy· inc$7.0M · $4.8M COHlost · 24.8%
  • DCROCKETT, GARY$350K · $271K COHlost · 20.1%
  • RSPENCER, MARK$5K · $55 COHlost · 2.1%
  • RARRINGTON, RANDALL STEVEN PHDwithdrew
  • DBURKE, TRACIEwithdrew
  • RCOTTONHAM, MARKEDA ANNwithdrew
  • RDENDY, TRACY COLLENEwithdrew
  • REMERSON, JULIE CATHRYN$689K · $28K COHwithdrew
  • RHOLDER, CHRISTOPHER LEE MR.withdrew
  • RJOHN, XAN MR.withdrew
  • WLABRANCHE, JAMIEwithdrew
  • RMIGUEZ, BLAKE$6.6M · $2.0M COHwithdrew
  • RMOROTT, JOSHUAwithdrew
  • RSEIDEN, KATHY W$1.2M · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RSKRMETTA, ERIC$68K · $5K COHwithdrew
  • DWALKER, JABARIEwithdrew
  • RWYATT, SAMUEL LEE MR.$300K · $0 COHwithdrew
Massachusetts U.S. Senate

Democratic Sen. Ed Markey, seeking a third full term, defeated Rep. Seth Moulton in the Sept. 1 primary, about 64.7% to 35.0%. He faces Republican John Deaton, who was unopposed for the GOP nomination.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
  • DEd Markey· inc$5.4M · $1.3M COH
  • RJohn Deaton$1.6M · $712K COH
  • IAYYADURAI, SHIVA DR$285K · $131K COH
  • OTACHE, JOSEPH$270K · $93K COH
Primary · Sep 1 · results›
  • DEd Markey· inc$5.4M · $1.3M COHwon
  • RJohn Deaton$1.6M · $712K COHwon
  • IAYYADURAI, SHIVA DR$285K · $131K COH
  • OTACHE, JOSEPH$270K · $93K COH
  • RBECH, NATHAN ALEXANDER$80K · $29K COHwithdrew
  • IDAWICKI, MORGAN GIFFORD$16K · $4K COHwithdrew
  • DGATES, WILLIAM FRANCIS MR.lost
  • DRIKLEEN, ALEXANDER$79K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DSeth Moulton$6.2M · $1.8M COHlost
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Mississippi U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith won renomination; Democrat Scott Colom advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1982.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 10 · results›
  • RCindy Hyde-Smith· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 80.8%
  • DScott Colom$2.4M · $847K COHwon · 72.9%
  • IPINKINS, TY$98K · $5K COH
  • RSarah Adlakha$566K · $10K COHlost · 19.2%
  • DTILL, PRISCILLA WILLIAMS$9K · $0 COHlost · 18.6%
  • DLITTELL, ALBERT Rlost · 8.5%
  • RSMITH, ANDREW SCOTTwithdrew
Montana U.S. Senate

Open seat after GOP Sen. Steve Daines withdrew before the filing deadline; former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme won the GOP primary, with Democrat Alani Bankhead and Tester-backed independent Seth Bodnar also on the ballot.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RKurt Alme$2.0M · $1.5M COHwon · 76.1%
  • LKyle Austin$251K · $9K COHwon · 53.2%
  • DAlani Bankhead$59K · $21K COHwon · 43.6%
  • ISeth Bodnar$3.2M · $978K COH
  • LJANDRON, TOMlost · 46.7%
  • DNEILL, REILLY$295K · $24K COHlost · 33%
  • RCALHOUN, LEE$8K · $0 COHlost · 14.1%
  • DBLACKWOLF, MICHAEL JAMES MR.$26K · $528 COHlost · 13.1%
  • RWALKINGCHILD, CHARLES SRlost · 9.7%
  • DKEHOE, CHRISTOPHER$1K · $920 COHlost · 6.4%
  • DHUMMERT, MICHAEL$12K · $9K COHlost · 3.9%
  • RDAINES, STEVE· inc$4.7M · $2.6M COHwithdrew
  • DMCLAUGHLIN, KATEwithdrew
New Jersey U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Cory Booker, who ran unopposed in his primary, is strongly favored to win a third full term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy in this heavily Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DCory Booker· inc$19M · $23M COHwon · 100%
  • RJustin Murphy$27K · $123 COHwon · 33.3%
  • IFERNANDEZ, VERONICA
  • RTABOR, RICHARD JEROME SR$27K · $0 COHlost · 29.2%
  • RZDAN, ALEX$48K · $5K COHlost · 26.8%
  • RLEBOVICS, ROBERT$178K · $10K COHlost · 10.7%
  • DCALLAHAN, SAXONwithdrew
  • ICARDUCCI, NICHOLAS MATTHEWwithdrew
  • IESTRADA, MICHAELwithdrew
  • DFIELDS, CHRISwithdrew
  • IMALDONADO, JUSTIN JUANwithdrew
  • DMCCORMICK, LISAwithdrew
  • AMISSERI, MICHAELwithdrew
  • IRIVERA, NATALIEwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
  • DTOMAINI, GREGORY RICHARD COLONELwithdrew
New Mexico U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Ben Ray Lujan won his primary with 84.2% and is heavily favored for reelection against Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in this reliably Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DBen Ray Lujan· inc$5.6M · $4.4M COHwon · 84.2%
  • RLarry Marker$34K · $12K COHadvanced · 100%
  • DDODSON, MATT$33K · $183 COHlost · 15.8%
  • ICARRARO, JOSEPH JOHNwithdrew
  • RCHANNON, MATTwithdrew
  • ICHICK, CAMERON ALTON MR. SR.withdrew
  • RL, BEN R JR.withdrew
  • IOCONNELL, MELISSA MIRAwithdrew
  • JSMITH, TOBY MR.withdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Oklahoma U.S. Senate

Gov. Kevin Stitt appointed Williams Companies executive Alan Armstrong to the seat in March 2026 after Markwayne Mullin resigned to lead the Department of Homeland Security, and state law bars Armstrong from seeking the full term. U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern won the June 16 Republican primary with 69.8%, and nurse N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas won the Aug. 25 Democratic runoff with 61.2%.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 16 · results›
  • RKevin Hern$10.0M · $2.5M COHwon · 69.8%
  • DJasmine Thomas$57K · $456 COHwon · 45.2%
  • IMEINHARDT, RON$9K · $162 COH
  • DJim Priest$378K · $56K COHlost · 23.9%
  • DGREEN, TROY WESLEY$33K · $9K COHlost · 19.8%
  • RENGLAND, GARY TY MR.$19K · $4K COHlost · 13.5%
  • RBUCKNER, WILLIAM SEANlost · 6.9%
  • DYEN, ERVIN STONE DR$21K · $0 COHlost · 6.7%
  • RRAGAIN, BRIAN MATTHEW$27K · $7K COHlost · 5.9%
  • DCASSITY, R.O.lost · 4.4%
  • RHANKINS, NICKY JOE$3K · $0 COHlost · 3.9%
  • RMULLIN, MARKWAYNE· inc$3.2M · $1.4M COHwithdrew
  • DBECK, WILLIAM EVAN SCOTTwithdrew
  • RINHOFE, JAMES M. SEN.withdrew
  • DLAVANN, REBEKAH JEQETTAwithdrew
  • RSWEARENGIN, TAMMYwithdrew
  • RWASHINGTON, WAYNE LONNY DR.withdrew
Oregon U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley won his primary with 93.2% and is heavily favored to win a fourth term against Republican state senator David Brock Smith in this reliably blue state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • DJeff Merkley· inc$4.5M · $6.8M COHwon · 93.2%
  • RDavid Brock Smith$121K · $29K COHwon · 29.5%
  • RPERKINS, JO RAE$11K · $153 COHlost · 27.1%
  • RMCALMOND, RUSSELLlost · 11.5%
  • RSKELTON, TIMOTHY WILLIAMlost · 1.5%
  • DRYAN, JACOBwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Rhode Island U.S. Senate

Democratic Sen. Jack Reed, seeking a sixth term, won the Sept. 9 primary over Connor Burbridge and Luis Daniel Muñoz. He faces Republican Raymond McKay, who was unopposed in his primary.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 9 · results›
  • DJack Reed· inc$3.4M · $3.1M COHwon
  • RRaymond McKay$180K · $8K COHwon
  • IBAHRY, MICHAEL$5K · $2K COH
  • DMUNOZ, LUIS DANIEL DRlost · 9.8%
  • DConnor Burbridge$27K · $0 COHlost
  • ILINDLEY, JONwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
  • RWATERS, ALLENwithdrew
Tennessee U.S. Senate

Republican Sen. Bill Hagerty, unopposed in the Aug. 6 primary, seeks a second term. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, the party's 2020 nominee, won the Democratic primary with 54.8%.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RBill Hagerty· inc$7.2M · $5.2M COH
  • DMarquita Bradshaw$2K · $1K COH
  • ICHANDLER, THARON
  • IJONES, ROBERT THOMAS
  • IMATTHEWS, YOSHI D.
  • ISUTMAN, DAVID JR$9K · $500 COH
  • IWHITSON, CATHERINE BARCEL MS BARCY
Primary · Aug 6 · results›
  • RBill Hagerty· inc$7.2M · $5.2M COHwon
  • DMarquita Bradshaw$2K · $1K COHwon
  • ICHANDLER, THARON
  • IJONES, ROBERT THOMAS
  • IMATTHEWS, YOSHI D.
  • ISUTMAN, DAVID JR$9K · $500 COH
  • IWHITSON, CATHERINE BARCEL MS BARCY
  • DBREWER, MARIA A$9K · $5K COHlost · 18%
  • DMCCANTS, KEVIN LEE MR.lost · 10.1%
  • DMILLER-WATKINS, CIVIL$6K · $3K COHlost · 8.7%
  • DONYEJIAKA, DIANAlost · 8.5%
  • UCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLASwithdrew
  • FMIXON, ANDREW WOODRUFF MRwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Virginia U.S. Senate

Democratic Sen. Mark Warner, unopposed in the Aug. 4 primary, seeks a fourth term. Republican Bert Mizusawa won the GOP primary with 51.5% over David Williams and Kim Farington.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • DMark Warner· inc$18M · $16M COHwon
  • RBert Mizusawa$419K · $90K COHwon
  • DWARNER, MARK ROBERT· inc
  • RMIZUSAWA, BERT K
  • RWILLIAMS, DAVID EARL MR.$97K · $7K COHlost · 28.9%
  • RFARINGTON, KIM$145K · $16K COHlost · 19.6%
  • DBROWN, PAMELA MS.withdrew
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLASwithdrew
  • DDANIELS, LORITA DR.$57K · $7K COHwithdrew
  • RDE PAULA, ALEX$6K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DEICHELBERGER, GREGORY$6K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RMINA, ALDOUS Dwithdrew
  • IMORAN, MARKwithdrew
  • RREEVES, BRYCE$106K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DREYNOLDS, JASON STEPHENwithdrew
  • RSMITH, C.L. CHUCK JR$46K · $546 COHwithdrew
West Virginia U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Shelley Moore Capito won her primary with 66.5% and is heavily favored to win reelection against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson in this deeply Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • RShelley Moore Capito· inc$4.6M · $4.4M COHwon · 66.5%
  • DRachel Fetty Anderson$50K · $22K COHwon · 33.2%
  • CWILSON, S. MARSHALL$2K · $499 COH
  • DFETTY ANDERSON, RACHEL LEE
  • DKESSLER, JEFFREY VINCENTlost · 27%
  • RWILLIS, THOMAS EDWARD II$642K · $0 COHlost · 18.9%
  • DSHREWSBURY, ZACHARY C$516K · $-2854 COHlost · 16.2%
  • IPHILLIPS, RIO$14K · $152 COHlost · 11%
  • RMCKINNEY, BRYANlost · 4.6%
  • RGAASERUD, ALEXANDER$3K · $1K COHlost · 3.7%
  • RMCNULTY, JANET$7K · $0 COHlost · 2.1%
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLASwithdrew
  • REVANS, JONATHAN DERRICK$1.2M · $93K COHwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew
Wyoming U.S. Senate

With Republican Sen. Cynthia Lummis retiring, Rep. Harriet Hageman won the Aug. 18 Republican primary for the open seat with 64.9%. James Byrd won the Democratic primary with 79.3%.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RHarriet Hageman$2.4M · $915K COHwon
  • DJames Byrd$23K · $356 COHwon
  • DBYRD, JAMES WILLARD MR.
  • RRASNER, REID$2.0M · $81K COH
  • RMEAD, SAMUEL$289K · $111K COHlost · 27.8%
  • RSKOVGARD, JIMMY MR$10K · $3K COHlost · 2.7%
  • RHOLTZ, JOHNlost · 2%
  • RLUMMIS, CYNTHIA MARIE MRS.· inc$1.5M · $835K COHwithdrew
  • RSOLOMON, GAVINwithdrew

Competitive House

47 districts

Alabama

AL-02 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures seeks a second term in a district Alabama redrew after the Supreme Court's Louisiana v. Callais ruling, making it far more Republican. Trump-endorsed state Rep. Rhett Marques won the Aug. 11 special Republican primary to challenge him.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›

Arizona

AZ-01 U.S. House

Open seat after five-term GOP Rep. David Schweikert left to run for governor, flipping this Phoenix-area district to a toss-up; a crowded July 21 primary features Democrats Amish Shah and Marlene Galan-Woods and Republicans led by ex-state Rep. Joseph Chaplik.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jul 21 · results›
  • DAmish Shah$1.8M · $402K COHwon
  • RJay Feely$2.5M · $794K COHwon
  • LALPONTE, MONICA MARIA$9K · $634 COH
  • RSCHWEIKERT, DAVID S.· inc$1.7M · $17K COHwithdrew
  • IAJLUNI, CHRISTOPHER$4K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DBARRAZA, ANDRES ADANwithdrew
  • DDEL VECCHIO, BRIAN A$15K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DDONNELLY, BRANDONwithdrew
  • RDUEY, JASON S.withdrew
  • RGALLEGO, DERRICKwithdrew
  • DGORDON, MARK ROBERT$299K · $62K COHwithdrew
  • RJohn Trobough$1.2M · $85K COHlost
  • DJonathan Treble$4.5M · $0 COHlost
  • RJoseph Chaplik$605K · $130K COHlost
  • DLUCIO, DANIEL LEE$3K · $1K COHwithdrew
  • DMarlene Galan-Woods$2.2M · $539K COHlost
  • DMONTOYA, ANGIE$4K · $628 COHwithdrew
  • RPURRINGTON, KAITLINwithdrew
  • RREEVS, PAUL C$111K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DRick McCartney$1.3M · $252K COHlost
  • RSOWERS, BRANDON$18K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RSWOBODA, GINA$222K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DWEINTRAUB, VICTOR H. MR.withdrew
AZ-06 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani defends one of the nation's premier swing seats in the Tucson-area 6th; Democrat JoAnna Mendoza is the party's leading challenger heading into the uncontested July 21 primary after rivals dropped out.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jul 21 · results›
  • RJuan Ciscomani· inc$6.2M · $4.1M COHwon
  • DJoAnna Mendoza$7.4M · $3.3M COHwon
  • LPETERS, JEREME LANCE$11K · $0 COH
  • GSWING, GARY
  • ABAH, IMAN$195 · $225 COHwithdrew
  • IDICKERSON, TREVOR$19K · $6K COHwithdrew
  • DDONAT, CHRIS$21K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DGOLDMAN, MOwithdrew
  • DJohnathan Bumawithdrew
  • DSEVERSON, SAMANTHAwithdrew
  • DSWALLOW, AIDEN NICHOLETTEwithdrew
  • DWEEKS, CARTER JORDANwithdrew

California

CA-13 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, boosted by California's Prop 50 remap, and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced from the top-two primary in this Central Valley swing seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DAdam Gray· inc$4.2M · $2.1M COHadvanced
  • RKevin Lincoln$2.2M · $838K COHadvanced
  • RKRUTTIVENTI, VIN$3.7M · $6K COHlost · 15.19%
  • DGARIBAY RODRIGUEZ, DANIELlost · 15.1%
  • NESCOBEDO, ALBERTOwithdrew
  • RLOPEZ, JAVIER B$146K · $619 COHwithdrew
  • DSIGALA, ANGELINAwithdrew
CA-21 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Jim Costa and Republican Kyle Kirkland advanced from the June 2 top-two primary in this Fresno-area district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DJim Costa· inc$1.3M · $939K COHadvanced
  • RKyle Kirkland$339K · $18K COHadvanced
  • RRIOS, LORENZO$430K · $65K COHlost · 14.93%
  • DHUBBARD, LOURINlost · 10.28%
  • DGARCIA, ERIC$613 · $19 COHlost · 5.08%
  • NKRUSE, LANCE ALVIN$2K · $160 COHlost · 1.18%
CA-22 U.S. House

In this heavily Latino, Democratic-leaning Central Valley district, GOP Rep. David Valadao (40.7%) and Democrat Randy Villegas (32.2%) advanced from the June 2 top-two primary; Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains finished third (27.2%). A perennial toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
CA-45 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Derek Tran led the top-two primary (about 53%) with Republican Chuong Vo advancing second in this Orange County/Little Saigon seat.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
CA-48 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Darrell Issa retiring) made competitive by Prop 50; Democrat Marni von Wilpert and Republican Jim Desmond advanced from the top-two primary.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJim Desmond$2.3M · $1.2M COHadvanced
  • DMarni von Wilpert$2.2M · $825K COHadvanced
  • DCAMPA-NAJJAR, AMMAR$5K · $0 COHlost · 10.64%
  • DCHAVEZ, ABEL$473K · $11K COHlost · 5.47%
  • DCONTRERAS, CORINNA$36K · $0 COHlost · 5.32%
  • DSCHAEFER, MIKElost · 2.52%
  • NREYNA, LUIS FERNANDOlost · 0.89%
  • DCLEMONS, STEPHENlost · 0.82%
  • DPORTER, FERGUSON$62K · $22K COHlost · 0.69%
  • DSHAW, ERIClost · 0.69%
  • RISSA, DARRELL· inc$2.1M · $2.7M COHwithdrew
  • IBUCY, MICHAEL WILLIAMwithdrew
  • DDAVIS, NICHOLASwithdrew
  • DDIXIT, ANUJ$466K · $168K COHwithdrew
  • RGAUTEREAUX, CORYwithdrew
  • DIANNARINO, MARC$45K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • UMORA, ALBERT JAMESwithdrew
  • DMORRISON, CURTIS$36K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DNASH, BRIAN Lwithdrew
  • DRIKER, BRANDON$2.3M · $21K COHlost
  • DSCHULTZ, JOHN THOMAS MR.withdrew
  • DSHANAHAN, WHITNEY$4K · $1K COHwithdrew
  • DTILL, SUZANNE MARIE DR.$7K · $0 COHwithdrew

Colorado

CO-08 U.S. House

Colorado's marquee toss-up in the Denver-area 8th: GOP freshman Rep. Gabe Evans (unopposed) faces Democrat Manny Rutinel, who won the June 30 primary with 60.9% over state Rep. Shannon Bird (34.3%).

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • RGabe Evans· inc$5.4M · $3.9M COHwon · 100%
  • DManny Rutinel$4.3M · $601K COHwon · 60.9%
  • DShannon Bird$2.3M · $230K COHlost · 34.3%
  • DMUNSING, EVAN$623K · $5K COHwithdrew · 4.6%
  • DBACA-OEHLERT, AMIE$135K · $14K COHwithdrew
  • DCARAVEO, YADIRA$259K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RDERITO, ADAM$29K · $3K COHwithdrew
  • DHASSLER, DANIEL SHANE MR$6K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DJOHNSON, LARRYwithdrew
  • DSZEMLER, JOHN FRANCISwithdrew
  • DYOUNG, DAVID L.$197K · $15K COHwithdrew

Florida

FL-09 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Darren Soto's Orlando-area seat was made more Republican by DeSantis's 2026 remap; the Aug. 18 GOP primary will set his challenger.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RDan Green$1.3M · $363K COHwon · 25.4%
  • DDarren Soto· inc$2.2M · $1.2M COHwon
  • RCHALIFOUX, THOMAS E. COLONEL JR.$3.1M · $2.0M COHlost · 20.3%
  • RMARTINEZ, JORGE$855K · $290K COHlost · 19.5%
  • RSTORY, JUSTIN$93K · $37K COHlost · 4.3%
  • RCARTER, GREGORY MARCUS MR$23K · $1K COHlost · 3.9%
  • RRANCE, HOWARD STEVEN$158K · $0 COHlost · 2.3%
  • RBen Butler$387K · $112K COHlost
  • NFARBER, STUART DRwithdrew
  • RMALAVET, JORGE ANTONIO$28K · $39 COHwithdrew
FL-13 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Anna Paulina Luna defends her Tampa Bay/Pinellas seat against Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RAnna Paulina Luna· inc$3.2M · $1.5M COHwon
  • DLeela Gray$1.2M · $683K COHwon
  • ID'ARRIGO, TONY C$28K · $26K COH
  • DROBINSON, TIMOTHY BRANDT MR$106K · $8K COHlost · 26.4%
  • DLICCIONE, JOHN WILLIAM$15K · $426 COHlost · 8.6%
  • DAGUERJOUT, FATIMA EZAHRAwithdrew
  • DFAY, JOHN T$4K · $-266 COHwithdrew
  • DFORD, EARLE$569K · $16K COHwithdrew
  • DKEMP, KARLA$11K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DLEFF, SUSAN ROCHELLEwithdrew
  • RLIONHEART, AMAROwithdrew
  • DMOORE, JEFFREYwithdrew
  • ROFFUTT, COURTNEY MSwithdrew
  • DPAROS, REGINALD$16K · $0 COHwithdrew
FL-14 U.S. House

The DeSantis remap shifted Democratic Rep. Kathy Castor's Tampa seat rightward, drawing a crowded Aug. 18 GOP primary to try to flip it.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DKathy Castor· inc$2.3M · $1.7M COHwon
  • RMike Beltran$2.1M · $1.9M COHwon
  • LLAMBERT, BRIAN KEITH$11K · $100 COH
  • WHERNANDEZ, SALOMON
  • RVALENTI, BEA$220K · $104K COHlost · 9.6%
  • RROCHFORD, ROBERT ANTHONY ROCKY CAPT$267K · $105K COHlost · 7.1%
  • RPETERS, JOHN$203K · $0 COHlost · 2.8%
  • RMARCEL, MICHAEL$19K · $4K COHlost · 1.8%
  • RTEK, ERGIN AKA BATMAN$42K · $1K COHlost · 1.7%
  • RSORIANO, GAVRIEL ELIYAHU$2K · $25 COHlost · 1.2%
  • DARAUZ, JUANwithdrew
  • RKevin Steelelost
  • RMISHIYEV, ERIK MAGAwithdrew
  • RWELDON, DANIEL$120K · $32K COHwithdrew
  • RWICK, JOHN CHARLES$7K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RWILLIAMS, SHAY$23K · $0 COHwithdrew
FL-27 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar defends her Miami seat; a crowded Aug. 18 Democratic primary (Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, Mike Davey) will pick her challenger.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DEliott Rodriguez$661K · $325K COHwon · 54%
  • RMaria Elvira Salazar· inc$2.0M · $2.3M COHwon
  • RARIAS, VINCENT MICHAEL$184K · $72K COHlost · 18.7%
  • DFORNINO, ALEXANDER$25K · $-719 COHwithdrew
  • DLAMONDIN, RICHARD$744K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DMike Davey$45K · $13K COHlost
  • DRobin Peguerolost

Iowa

IA-01 U.S. House

A third straight Miller-Meeks vs. Bohannan rematch after the nation's closest 2024 House race (~800 votes). Both won contested June 2 primaries; Cook rates the southeastern-Iowa seat a pure toss-up.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
IA-02 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson running for Senate); Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James won their June 2 primaries.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJoe Mitchell$1.9M · $896K COHwon
  • DLindsay James$1.6M · $756K COHwon
  • IBUSHAW, DAVE$26K · $12K COH
  • RMCCLINTOCK, CHARLIE$18K · $13K COHlost · 38.5%
  • DTWEDT-BALL, CLINTON GENE$585K · $11K COHlost · 24.1%
  • DDOLTER, KATHRYN J$75K · $415 COHlost · 18.1%
  • RARENHOLZ, ASHLEY HINSON· inc$10M · $6.7M COHwithdrew
  • RBLUM, RODNEY$250K · $247K COHwithdrew
  • RLUNDGREN, SHANNON$92K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DMORGAN, GUY$5K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DPRIMUS, DONALD K.withdrew
  • DTECHAU, KEVIN W$147K · $0 COHwithdrew
IA-03 U.S. House

Two-term GOP Rep. Zach Nunn (re-elected 51.8% in 2024) faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in this Des Moines-based district. Both ran unopposed in the June 2 primary; Cook rates the seat a toss-up.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›

Maine

ME-02 U.S. House

Open seat (Democrat Jared Golden retiring); Democrat Matt Dunlap won the June primary and faces Republican former Gov. Paul LePage.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›

Michigan

MI-04 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Bill Huizenga seeks reelection in a Grand Rapids-area seat trending Democratic; state Sen. Sean McCann is the leading Democrat ahead of the Aug. 4 primary.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RBill Huizenga· inc$4.1M · $2.3M COHwon
  • DSean McCann$2.6M · $1.7M COHwon
  • UJOHNSON, AUSTIN
  • DHARRIS, DIOP JERMAINE MR II$144K · $9K COHlost · 34.33%
  • DAARON, RICHARDwithdrew
  • DSWARTZ, JESSICA$342K · $0 COHwithdrew
MI-07 U.S. House

Freshman GOP Rep. Tom Barrett defends an even-PVI Lansing-area seat he flipped in 2024. Democrats hold a competitive Aug. 4 primary led by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, with Matt Maasdam and Sunrise co-founder William Lawrence also running; Cook rates it a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RTom Barrett· inc$6.3M · $2.9M COHwon
  • DWilliam Lawrence$1.1M · $383K COHwon
  • DBridget Brink$3.0M · $841K COHlost
  • DCOWEN, JOSH$209K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DMatt Maasdam$2.1M · $464K COHlost
  • IPRIEDITIS, ALEXANDRA MICHELE MS.withdrew
  • DRAIS, MUHAMMAD SALMANwithdrew
  • DSMELTZER BADGER, SAMUEL ELYONwithdrew
MI-10 U.S. House

Open Macomb County seat after GOP Rep. John James left to run for governor, with contested Aug. 4 primaries on both sides (R front-runner: Trump-endorsed Mike Bouchard; D: former Pontiac mayor Tim Greimel and prosecutor Christina Hines). Cook rates it Lean R; Sabato calls it a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›

Minnesota

MN-01 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Brad Finstad faces a stronger-than-expected challenge from Democrat Jake Johnson in this southern Minnesota seat; primary Aug. 11.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›
  • RBrad Finstad· inc$2.0M · $1.3M COHwon
  • DJake Johnson$2.0M · $1.0M COHwon
  • DJOHNSON, JACOB
  • DEATON, ALEX$79K · $14K COHlost · 18.3%
  • RMORLAN, OLIVER RODERICK$980 · $153 COHlost · 4.7%
  • DSMITH, ANDYwithdrew
  • IYOUNGERBERG, LUCAS TODDwithdrew

Montana

MT-01 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke retiring); Republican Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag won their June 2 primaries in this western Montana district.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›

North Carolina

NC-01 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Don Davis defends a redrawn, GOP-leaning eastern district against Republican Laurie Buckhout.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RLaurie Buckhout$3.8M · $1.8M COHwon · 38.73%
  • DDon Davis· inc$4.3M · $3.6M COHwon
  • LBAILEY, TOM
  • RBUCK, ASA BRYANT III$339K · $0 COHlost · 34.5%
  • RHANIG, BOBBY$361K · $237 COHlost · 16.2%
  • RROUSE, ERIClost · 5.4%
  • RRUSSELL, ASHLEY NICOLE$222K · $0 COHlost · 4.4%
  • RROBERSON, SANDY$3.5M · $23K COHwithdrew
NC-11 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Chuck Edwards faces Democrat Jamie Ager, a farmer, in western North Carolina.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RChuck Edwards· inc$940K · $486K COHwon · 70%
  • DJamie Ager$3.1M · $2.2M COHwon · 65%
  • LGROO, TRAVIS
  • RSMITH, ADAM R.$67K · $2K COHlost · 29.9%
  • DHUDSPETH, RICHARD DR.$217K · $0 COHlost · 15.9%
  • DBRIARWOOD, ZELDA$39K · $17 COHlost · 13%
  • DMADDOX, PAUL$95K · $21 COHlost · 5.1%
  • DWHIPPLE, LEE$3K · $0 COHlost · 1.4%
  • LCONNORS, JONATHAN Rwithdrew
  • DDAVIS, MORRIS D. COL.$111K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DHARJES, CHRISTOPHER JOHN$74K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DLAWRENCE, JACOB$43K · $936 COHwithdrew
  • IROGERS, JOHN WILLIAM MR. IIIwithdrew

Nebraska

NE-02 U.S. House

Open seat as Republican Don Bacon retires; Democrat Denise Powell faces Republican Brinker Harding in the Omaha-based swing district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›

New Hampshire

NH-01 U.S. House

Open seat as Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas runs for Senate; Democrats Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard lead a crowded September primary field.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 8 · results›
  • RAnthony DiLorenzo$2.5M · $189K COHwon · 51%
  • DStefany Shaheen$2.4M · $604K COHwon
  • DSULLIVAN, MAURA CORBY$3.6M · $790K COHlost · 34.7%
  • DBERIONT, CARLEIGH$587K · $53K COHlost · 22.5%
  • RCOLE, BRIAN$486K · $9K COHlost · 14.1%
  • RBAILEY, MELISSA$211K · $116K COHwithdrew · 4%
  • DCHADZYNSKI, SARAH$107K · $749 COHlost · 1.5%
  • DURRUTIA, CHRISTIAN$1.2M · $70K COHwithdrew · 1.5%
  • DPAPPAS, CHRIS· inc$15M · $4.3M COHwithdrew
  • RBRIGHT, CHRIS$25K · $1K COHwithdrew
  • RGIRARD, ELIZABETH$178K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DHeath Howard$55K · $11K COHlost
  • RHollie Noveletsky$589K · $143K COHlost

New Jersey

NJ-07 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr., unopposed in the GOP primary, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a Navy veteran who emerged from a large June 2 field, in one of the nation's most closely divided battlegrounds.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DRebecca Bennett$4.3M · $1.4M COHwon · 45.3%
  • RThomas Kean Jr.· inc$4.9M · $3.6M COHwon
  • DTina Shah$2.3M · $164K COHlost · 20%
  • DVARELA, BRIAN$2.0M · $-12586 COHlost · 19.1%
  • DROTH, MICHAEL$1.3M · $40K COHlost · 15.6%
  • DADUBATO, BETH ELLEN PH.D.$168K · $3K COHwithdrew
  • DGARTH, MICHAEL JOSEPH$500 · $438 COHwithdrew
  • DMENDOZA, VALENTINA E. ESQ.$2K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DO'ROURKE, MEGAN$571K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DSANTOS, FELIPEwithdrew
  • DSOOY, SARA$54K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • ITERRY, RANDALLwithdrew
  • DVARTAN, GREGORY III$193K · $0 COHwithdrew

New Mexico

Nevada

NV-01 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Dina Titus, a top GOP target, faces Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in her Las Vegas district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DDina Titus· inc$1.5M · $1.3M COHwon · 79%
  • RCarrie Buck$1.9M · $654K COHwon · 78%
  • IKHAN, AFZAL$86K · $3K COH
  • RSAGE, RICK
  • DHOOVER, JOY$82K · $544 COHlost · 13.1%
  • RBLOCKEY, JIM$22K · $474 COHlost · 11.2%
  • DCORNEJO, GABRIELlost · 8.8%
  • RBORIS, MICHAEL$78K · $63K COHlost · 5.9%
  • RARNOLD, MARIE ENCAR ARANAlost · 3.9%
  • DPANIAGUA, LUISlost · 2.3%
  • RGURNER, ROY WILLIAM MRwithdrew
  • RHANOFF, KEITH$32K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • OHOUSTON, J E IIwithdrew
  • RMARCHANT, JIM$5K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DPERESZLENYI, ALEX$9K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • ITHOMAS, ANTHONY MR JR.withdrew
NV-03 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Susie Lee defends a perennial swing seat against Trump-backed Republican Marty O'Donnell.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DSusie Lee· inc$4.4M · $3.7M COHwon · 73%
  • RMarty O'Donnell$4.1M · $2.4M COHwon · 44%
  • RANDERSON, TERA$320K · $27K COHlost · 24.1%
  • DLALLY, JAMES DR.$1.3M · $38K COHlost · 20.4%
  • RGUNTER, JEFF DR.$809K · $6K COHlost · 19.5%
  • RNAGY, AURY$1.1M · $746K COHlost · 14%
  • DROBINSON, TERRILL$3K · $3K COHlost · 6.5%
  • DWEST, BRANDONlost · 3.9%
  • RBRANDLIN, CHRISTOPHER PAUL$191K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RDOMINGUEZ, LYDIA$27K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DHUTCHINSON, SEAN WILLIAMwithdrew
  • RKENNEDY, RONDA$350K · $261K COHwithdrew
  • RLONDON, STEVEN$42K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RPARKER, LUCENAwithdrew
  • RSHOAF, ELGIN LEDESMAwithdrew
  • RWALTERS, JOSHUA$48K · $0 COHwithdrew

New York

NY-04 U.S. House

Freshman Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen defends her Long Island seat against Republican Jeanine Driscoll.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
  • DLaura Gillen· inc$5.1M · $3.8M COHwon
  • RJeanine Driscoll$265K · $226K COHwon
  • ITARNOFF, BLAY$25K · $0 COH
  • RSUBER WILLIAMS, MARVIN$137K · $1K COHlost · 8.9%
  • DBIERRIA-ANDERSON, KIANA$27K · $9K COHwithdrew
  • DDARLING, TAYLOR R$34K · $2K COHwithdrew
  • DJONES, GIAN A$7K · $12K COHwithdrew
  • DLOZADA, FRANKwithdrew
  • RMANDEL, MICHAELwithdrew
  • RMCGRATH, DENNIS JOSEPH MR.$10K · $1K COHwithdrew
  • RMILLER, BRIANwithdrew
  • DSCIRETTA, NICHOLAS JUDE$7 · $7 COHwithdrew
NY-17 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Mike Lawler defends this Hudson Valley swing seat against Democrat Cait Conley, a West Point graduate and Army veteran who won a competitive June 23 primary, in a marquee toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›

Ohio

OH-01 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman defends his Cincinnati-based seat against Republican Eric Conroy, a former CIA officer.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • DGreg Landsman· inc$4.6M · $3.6M COHwon
  • REric Conroy$1.5M · $474K COHwon
  • LHANCOCK, JOHN DAVID JR$1K · $1K COHwithdrew · 91.3%
  • DLYNCH, DAMON IV$14K · $4K COHlost · 32.1%
  • RADAMS, HOLLY$413K · $0 COHlost · 19.7%
  • LSTOOPS, JASON DWIGHTlost · 8.7%
  • ROGLESBY-HENRY, ROSEMARY$44K · $186 COHlost · 8.4%
  • RERBECK, STEVEN$835K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DFERREIRA, LINDSEY MARIEwithdrew
OH-09 U.S. House

Longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in congressional history, faces a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won a five-way May 5 GOP primary, after narrowly beating him in this Toledo-area toss-up in 2024.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • RDerek Merrin$1.5M · $531K COHwon · 44.1%
  • DMarcy Kaptur· inc$4.3M · $3.5M COHwon
  • WMCKINSTRY, KATHY
  • LGEDERT, DAVID EDWARDlost · 40.7%
  • RJosh Williamslost · 25.3%
  • RMadison Sheahanlost · 20.2%
  • RNADEEM, ALEA$750K · $0 COHlost · 5.5%
  • RCAMPBELL, ANTHONY BRUCE$34K · $7K COHlost · 4.9%
  • RFROST, JACOB THOMAS MR.withdrew
  • RKINSEL, WAYNE CHARLES$91K · $33K COHwithdrew

Pennsylvania

PA-01 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick faces Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie (D) in a Biden-won district.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBrian Fitzpatrick· inc$6.7M · $6.4M COHwon
  • DBob Harvie$2.0M · $795K COHwon
  • DSIMONELLI, LUCIA DORA$94K · $5K COHlost · 34.9%
  • IHOBAN, JOHN Jwithdrew
  • DHUNT, TRACY$44K · $4K COHwithdrew
  • LREMMEY, JAMIE FROSTwithdrew
  • DSTRICKLER, ROBERT J$26K · $-6576 COHwithdrew
  • DTAFT, THOMAS PRINDLE MR.withdrew
  • DWAGNER, WILLIAM WARREN JRwithdrew
  • DZELTAKALNS, MICHAEL$7K · $7K COHwithdrew
PA-07 U.S. House

Freshman Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, who ousted Democrat Susan Wild in 2024 with just over 50% in the Lehigh Valley, faces Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighters' union president who won a four-way May 19 primary with 41%. One of the purest toss-ups in the country.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
PA-08 U.S. House

Freshman Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, who flipped the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre seat in 2024, faces Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (D); both were unopposed in the primary. Cook rates the northeastern Pennsylvania seat Lean Republican.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
PA-10 U.S. House

A 2024 rematch: Republican Rep. Scott Perry faces former TV news anchor Janelle Stelson (D), who won the Democratic primary over Justin Douglas 67.5%-32.5%. Handicappers rate the Harrisburg-area seat a toss-up and one of the most vulnerable GOP-held districts.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›

Texas

TX-28 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in a South Texas border seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTano Tijerina$1.4M · $768K COHwon · 74%
  • DHenry Cuellar· inc$2.2M · $1.1M COHwon · 58%
  • GDURAN, MARLON GERARDO MX.
  • ABENAVIDES, GEORGE ANDREW MR
  • DVILLARREAL, RICARDO$68K · $22K COHlost · 37%
  • RDAY, EILEENlost · 25.7%
  • DVANTINE, CHAUNCE ANDREWlost · 5%
  • RESPARZA, JUAN$32K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • ILOPEZ, ADRIEL VENTURAwithdrew
  • DTREVINO, RYANwithdrew
TX-34 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez defends this South Texas toss-up against Republican Eric Flores, a former assistant U.S. attorney with Trump's endorsement who won the March 3 GOP primary outright, beating former Rep. Mayra Flores.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DVicente Gonzalez· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 62.7%
  • REric Flores$2.9M · $686K COHwon · 56.6%
  • GESPINOZA, EDDIE
  • DEtienne Rosaslost · 37.3%
  • DROSAS, ETIENNE PH.D.$170K · $17K COHlost · 37.3%
  • RFLORES, MAYRA NOHEMI$1.4M · $1K COHlost · 23.7%
  • RMayra Floreslost · 23.7%
  • RBUENTELLO, LUIS F$45K · $-1812 COHlost · 5.3%
  • RMANDEL, CHARLES$1.0M · $55K COHlost · 4.5%
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COHlost · 3.8%
  • RHINOJOSA, ALFREDO JR.$36K · $0 COHlost · 3.8%
  • RKUNKLE, GREGORY SCOTT JR.$9K · $1K COHlost · 1.9%
  • RNAGY, JAY$15K · $0 COHwithdrew · 0.4%
  • RGARZA, MAURO EVERETT MR.$13K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • RMORALES, MARIO ALBERTO$16K · $0 COHwithdrew

Virginia

VA-01 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Rob Wittman awaits an August primary in which seven Democrats, led by prosecutor Shannon Taylor, compete to challenge him.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
VA-02 U.S. House

This coastal Hampton Roads seat is a genuine toss-up (Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections) as GOP Rep. Jen Kiggans seeks a third term. Four Democrats compete in the Aug. 4 primary, with former Rep. Elaine Luria the frontrunner, setting up a potential Kiggans-Luria rematch.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RJen Kiggans· inc$6.0M · $3.4M COHwon
  • DElaine Luria$4.7M · $3.6M COHwon
  • ISTATEN, GERAL DEFRANCE MR
  • IALBRITTON, DEVINCHE JAVONwithdrew
  • DBill Fleming$55K · $11K COHlost
  • DNila Devanath$286K · $20K COHlost
  • DOSYF, JAMES$413K · $79K COHwithdrew
  • DPatrick Mosolf$169K · $101K COHlost
  • DSLEISTER, NICOLAUS$5K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DSTRICKLER, MATT$313K · $115K COHwithdrew
  • DSTRINGFELLOW, JOHN BURKwithdrew
  • RWilliam Matthewslost
  • DWILLIAMSON, MICHAEL$353K · $0 COHwithdrew

Washington

WA-03 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez heads into an August top-two primary with Republican state Sen. John Braun the leading challenger.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›

Wisconsin

WI-03 U.S. House

This western Wisconsin district (Trump +7.5 in 2024) became a toss-up after Cook shifted it from Lean R, as GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term. Democrat Rebecca Cooke is making a third run, a rematch after losing by under three points in 2024, and faces Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge in the Aug. 11 primary.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›