2026 Elections

The fight for Congress

The 2026 U.S. Senate and competitive House races — the Senate outlook, the battlegrounds, the primary results where voting has happened, and the candidates on the November 3 ballot. Sourced from FEC filings and public reporting; refreshed on a schedule. Each race links to its candidates and the network money behind them.

The fight for the Senate

35 seats on the 2026 ballot

10 safe/likely D · 3 lean D · 4 toss-up · 2 lean R · 16 safe/likely R. Toss-ups decide control.

Safe D8
CODEILMANJNMORRI
Likely D2
MNVA
Lean D3
GANCNH
Toss-up4
AKMEMIOH*
Lean R2
IATX
Likely R3
FL*MTNE
Safe R13
ALARIDKSKYLAMSOKSCSDTNWVWY

* special election · click a state to jump to the race

Top races

the battlegrounds
Alaska U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan seeks a third term but faces a serious challenge from former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola, whose entry turned this into a toss-up. Alaska uses an Aug. 18 top-four nonpartisan primary (not yet held) with a ranked-choice general; Cook and Sabato rate it Toss-up while Inside Elections leans it Republican.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • RDan Sullivan· inc$8.5M · $8.3M COH
  • DDIENER, ANN
  • DHAFNER, CAROL
  • RHEIKES, GERALD L. (JERRY)
  • RHOUSE DARDEN, DUSTIN THOMAS
  • LKOHLHAAS, SCOTT A.
  • DLESLIE, DAVID BRYAN
  • DMary Peltola$16M · $6.1M COH
  • RMCELWAIN, HEATHER G
  • RMIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER
  • NROBERTS, REECE
Race & money →Source ↗
Maine U.S. Senate

Five-term Republican Susan Collins, the only GOP senator in a state Trump has lost three times, is the cycle's most vulnerable Republican incumbent and won her primary unopposed. Democratic June 9 primary winner Graham Platner (72%) dropped out July 8 amid a sexual-assault allegation, so Maine Democrats are choosing a replacement nominee by convention before the July 27 deadline; the race is rated Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
Michigan U.S. Senate

This open seat (Democrat Gary Peters is retiring) is the only Democratic-held seat up in a state Trump won in 2024, and every major forecaster rates it a pure Toss-up. The Aug. 4 Democratic primary is a two-way contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens (establishment-backed) and progressive Abdul El-Sayed after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign July 5; former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
  • DPETERS, GARY· inc$248K · $6.5M COH
  • DAbdul El-Sayed$15M · $2.6M COH
  • RBENHAM, KENT
  • RBRAGGS, MARNISHA BRECHE
  • LCHRISTENSEN, LYDIA LYNN
  • DHaley Stevens$12M · $2.8M COH
  • RHEURTEBISE, FREDERICK$10K · $0 COH
  • DHOWARD, RACHEL ELIZABETH$11K · $5K COH
  • IJOHNSON II, CRAIG HENLEY MR II
  • RKAMAL, ANDREW
  • TKOVALY, ROBERT
  • GMARSH, DOUGLAS PHILIP
  • RMike Rogers$11M · $4.5M COH
  • RSCOTT, GENEVIEVE$83K · $3K COH
  • ISHERMAN, JASON
  • RSMITH, BERNADETTE$77K · $4K COH
  • NSTEPHENS, THOMAS WAYNE$1K · $780 COH
  • IWILLIS, VALERIE LEE
  • DZOLLNER, TRAVIS JOSEPH
  • DJoe Tate$244K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DMallory McMorrow$11M · $1.9M COHwithdrew
Race & money →Source ↗
Ohio U.S. Senate (special)

This special election fills the remainder of J.D. Vance's term after he became vice president; Republican Jon Husted was appointed by Gov. DeWine in January 2025 and won his primary unopposed. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, who lost his seat in 2024, won the Democratic nomination with about 89% and is attempting a comeback, making this a Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
Georgia U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff, unopposed in his primary, defends one of only two Democratic-held seats in a state Trump carried in 2024. Republicans went to a June 16 runoff, where Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Mike Collins beat Derek Dooley with 55.5% to win the nomination; forecasters lean the general slightly to Ossoff.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RMike Collins$7.4M · $2.1M COHwon · 55.5%
  • DJon Ossoff· inc$77M · $43M COHwon
  • IBARTELL, ELBERT
  • RBOX, REAGAN$82K · $-200 COH
  • RBRIGMAN, BRADLEY
  • RBURTON, MARQUETT DAVON
  • RCAPPARELL, CHRISTOPHER PAUL
  • RCHAPMAN, CHRISTOPH LA'FLARE
  • RCLEMENT, CHRISTINA LOREN REV DR TRUSTE
  • RCOYNE, JOHN F III
  • IJACKSON, DEVELLE LAVAUGHN
  • DLEGETTE, KIA
  • RMCCOLUMN, JONATHAN MR$36K · $12K COH
  • RPILE, CHELSAE
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTEMPLE, RICK
  • RWATKINS, VINSON L
  • RBuddy Carter$7.3M · $60K COHlost
  • RDerek Dooley$4.7M · $351K COHlost
  • RJohn King$563K · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Iowa U.S. Senate

Republican Joni Ernst's decision not to seek a third term opened this seat in an increasingly red state. Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson won the GOP primary with 73.9%, and state Rep. Josh Turek won the Democratic nomination with about 63%; forecasters lean the race Republican.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
North Carolina U.S. Senate

This open seat opened when Republican Thom Tillis declined to seek a third term after opposing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Popular former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper won his primary with 92% and Trump-endorsed former RNC chair Michael Whatley took the GOP nod with 64.6%; Cooper's strength has forecasters leaning the seat toward a Democratic flip.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DRoy Cooper$35M · $21M COHwon · 92%
  • RMichael Whatley$11M · $3.5M COHwon · 64.6%
  • RTILLIS, THOM R SEN· inc$4.7M · $3.6M COH
  • RAGNEW, BROOKS ALEXANDER
  • LBRAY, SHANNON
  • OCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • DCOLON, ROBERT
  • RDANSIE, RICHARD$2K · $630 COH
  • IDEBERRY, SHAUNESI YVETTE
  • GDUBLIN, MICHAEL LOUIS JR.$25K · $10K COH
  • DDUES, JUSTIN
  • RDUPRE, MARGOT
  • DFARROW, DARYL
  • DHAMMOND, ALYSSIA ROSE-KATHERINE
  • OJOHNSON, CONSTANCE "CONNIE"
  • RJOHNSON, THOMAS LEE$7K · $0 COH
  • RKEENER, LOGAN BENJAMIN DR
  • GMCGINNIS, BRIAN$68K · $-13363 COH
  • RMORROW, MICHELE$13K · $-187 COH
  • DNICKEL, WILEY$589K · $0 COH
  • RNILSSON, ROBERT ANDERS MR
  • DQUICK, ORRICK ROMAINE
  • RSIBHATU, LICHIA WOLDEGABREAL
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTEMPLE, ELIZABETH A.
  • DWILLIAMS, MARCUS W.$6K · $0 COH
  • RDon Brown$225K · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
New Hampshire U.S. Senate

Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open seat, with U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas the strong favorite for the Democratic nomination in the Sept. 8 primary. The Republican primary pits former Senators John E. Sununu (polling ahead and backed by Senate leadership) against Scott Brown (endorsed by Trump); forecasters lean the seat Democratic.

Lean D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 8 primary.

Primary · Sep 8 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗
Texas U.S. Senate

Four-term Republican incumbent John Cornyn was denied renomination, losing a May 26 runoff to Trump-endorsed Attorney General Ken Paxton (63.8%) after a bruising primary that also included U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt. State Rep. James Talarico won the Democratic primary outright (about 53%) over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett; the Paxton nomination gives Democrats an opening, but forecasters lean the seat Republican.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RKen Paxton$9.2M · $1.8M COHwon · 63.8%
  • DJames Talarico$69M · $22M COHwon · 53%
  • RADEFOPE, JOHN
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COH
  • DALLRED, COLIN$7.6M · $708 COH
  • RALVAREZ, ANDREW
  • RBENDER, ANNA
  • RBIERSCHWALE, VIRGIL$10K · $383 COH
  • CBROWN GAINES, JENNIFER TAWANDA DR. @ LAW DISTRICT 3
  • LBROWN, THEODORE E. JR.$7K · $1K COH
  • ICAIN, JOSHUA
  • RCANADY, SARA LARUE$770 · $-430 COH
  • RDUNCAN, ALEXANDER
  • IEVANS, RONALD JR
  • NFORD, CAMENCIA
  • WHALL, BRADFORD WINSTON
  • DHASSAN, AHMAD
  • UHUSE, RODGER
  • RKHAN, GULREZ$11K · $-646 COH
  • RMANN, RENNIE HILL
  • RMCNABB, BARRETT ANTHONY
  • DMORGUL, EMILY
  • RSCHMOKER, TONY$3K · $0 COH
  • ISIMMONS, JADE
  • LSIMS, DANIEL M$12K · $200 COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSWANSON, MICHAEL$7K · $0 COH
  • RTRAKAS, ANDREW KYLE
  • NTRUELSON, HANS
  • DVIRTS, TERRY$665K · $3K COH
  • DWILLIAMS, PAULA STEPHEN MS
  • RWYATT, DOC LEO DR
  • DJasmine Crockett$11M · $226K COHlost · 45%
  • RJohn Cornyn· inc$8.6M · $542K COHlost
  • RWesley Hunt$2.1M · $29K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Minnesota U.S. Senate

DFL Senator Tina Smith's retirement created Minnesota's first open Senate seat since 2006, and the Aug. 11 DFL primary is a marquee contest between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (party-endorsed) and U.S. Rep. Angie Craig. Republicans including Royce White, Adam Schwarze and Michele Tafoya are competing for the nomination in a state Democrats have long held; forecasters rate it Likely D.

Likely D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 11 primary.

Primary · Aug 11 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗

Senate — the rest of the map

Florida U.S. Senate (Special)

Special election for the final two years of Marco Rubio's term (he resigned to become Secretary of State); appointed GOP Sen. Ashley Moody faces a Democratic primary featuring Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • RAshley Moody· inc
  • DAlex Vindman
  • DAngie Nixon
Race & money →Source ↗
Montana U.S. Senate

Open seat after GOP Sen. Steve Daines withdrew before the filing deadline; former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme won the GOP primary, with Democrat Alani Bankhead and Tester-backed independent Seth Bodnar also on the ballot.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
  • RKurt Alme$2.0M · $1.5M COH
  • LKyle Austin$262K · $20K COH
  • DAlani Bankhead$59K · $21K COH
  • ISeth Bodnar$3.2M · $978K COH
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RKurt Alme$2.0M · $1.5M COHwon · 76.1%
  • LKyle Austin$262K · $20K COHwon · 53.2%
  • DAlani Bankhead$59K · $21K COHwon · 43.6%
  • ISeth Bodnar$3.2M · $978K COH
  • RDAINES, STEVE· inc$4.7M · $2.6M COH
  • DBLACKWOLF, MICHAEL JAMES MR.$26K · $528 COH
  • RCALHOUN, LEE$8K · $0 COH
  • DHUMMERT, MICHAEL$12K · $9K COH
  • LJANDRON, TOM
  • DKEHOE, CHRISTOPHER$1K · $920 COH
  • DMCLAUGHLIN, KATE
  • DNEILL, REILLY$295K · $24K COH
  • RWALKINGCHILD, CHARLES SR
Race & money →Source ↗
Nebraska U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts, seeking his first full term after winning a 2024 special election, won his primary with about 82%. The competitive dynamic is independent Dan Osborn, who qualified for the ballot by petition and polls close to Ricketts; Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank has pledged to drop out to consolidate support behind Osborn. Rated Likely R.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
  • DCindy Burbank$40K · $21K COH
  • RPete Ricketts· inc$11M · $6.9M COH
  • IDan Osborn$5.8M · $2.4M COH
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • DCindy Burbank$40K · $21K COHwon · 89.5%
  • RPete Ricketts· inc$11M · $6.9M COHwon · 81.5%
  • IDan Osborn$5.8M · $2.4M COH
  • RAXTELL SCHULTZ, DEBRA LEANNE MS
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • RDUNN, EDWARD MR.
  • OMARVIN, MIKE$28K · $3K COH
  • RSASSE, BENJAMIN E.$30K · $2.3M COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RSTEVENS, MAC
  • DWilliam Forbes$1K · $0 COHlost · 10.5%
Race & money →Source ↗
Virginia U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Mark Warner is the presumptive nominee seeking a fourth term and is favored in this Democratic-leaning state, with no major Republican challenger yet named ahead of the August primary.

Likely D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
  • DMark Warner· inc
  • DWARNER, MARK ROBERT· inc$18M · $16M COH
  • DBROWN, PAMELA MS.
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • DDANIELS, LORITA DR.$57K · $7K COH
  • RDE PAULA, ALEX$6K · $2K COH
  • DEICHELBERGER, GREGORY$6K · $0 COH
  • RFARINGTON, KIM$145K · $16K COH
  • RMINA, ALDOUS D
  • RMIZUSAWA, BERT K$376K · $53K COH
  • IMORAN, MARK
  • RREEVES, BRYCE$106K · $0 COH
  • DREYNOLDS, JASON STEPHEN
  • RSMITH, C.L. CHUCK JR$46K · $546 COH
  • RWILLIAMS, DAVID EARL MR.$97K · $7K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Alabama U.S. Senate

Open seat as GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville runs for governor; Rep. Barry Moore won the June 16 Republican runoff to face Democrat Everett Wess.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RBarry Moore$3.8M · $628K COH
  • DEverett Wess$83K · $-10011 COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBarry Moore$3.8M · $628K COHwon · 55.8%
  • DEverett Wess$83K · $-10011 COHwon · 54.6%
  • RTUBERVILLE, THOMAS H· inc$726K · $67K COH
  • RBURTON, MATTHEW SETH$74K · $0 COH
  • RCOLBERT, MICHAEL
  • DGLASGOW, VALMA K$294 · $100 COH
  • DHOWARD, JAMES GREGORY MR JR
  • DLAVENDER, LAMONT
  • RMURPHY, MORGAN W. W.$1.3M · $105K COH
  • DSWEETSER, KYLE$166K · $3K COH
  • RWALKER, RODNEY$2.0M · $0 COH
  • DWHEELER, MARK SHANNON MR II$17K · $566 COH
  • DDakarai Larriett$154K · $2K COHlost
  • RJared Hudson$1.9M · $114K COHlost
  • RSteve Marshall$1.3M · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Arkansas U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Tom Cotton easily won renomination for a third term; Democrat Hallie Shoffner won her primary in a state Democrats have not carried for Senate since 2008.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTom Cotton· inc$6.2M · $9.9M COHwon · 81.64%
  • DHallie Shoffner$2.3M · $864K COHwon · 78.27%
  • RASHBY, MICAH$41K · $754 COH
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • RLITTLE, JEB$93K · $127 COH
  • DPITTMAN, JONATHAN
  • DRUSSELL, JAMES RICHARD MR III$3K · $0 COH
  • LWADLIN, JEFFREY FRANCIS$29K · $8K COH
  • DWHITFIELD, DANIEL ALLEN$353 · $2K COH
  • DEthan Dunbar$17K · $1K COHlost · 21.73%
Race & money →Source ↗
Colorado U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper won a contested primary for a second term and faces Republican state senator Mark Baisley.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • DJohn Hickenlooper· inc$8.1M · $2.1M COHwon · 52.8%
  • RMark Baisley$139K · $50K COHwon
  • DBRESLIN, KAREN$165K · $2K COH
  • RCALDERON, AMANDA J JILLIAN MRS
  • OCHEW, BOB$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • FCHEW, ROBERT$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • IDALE, CLINTON ROOSEVELT
  • DHASLEY, BRASHAD D$20K · $0 COH
  • RJONES, DATHAN CHARLES$25 · $45 COH
  • RJOSHI, JANAK$486K · $0 COH
  • IKUEBLER, JOSHUA WILLIAM
  • RMARKERT, GEORGE WASHINGTON MR V$315K · $0 COH
  • DMINER, NICHOLE
  • CPOND, SEAN M.$31K · $0 COH
  • DSCANLON, MICHAEL
  • DWILLIAMS, JESSICA
  • UWITHROW, ADAM
  • IWOOD, MATTHEW$5K · $753 COH
  • DZIMPFER, ANTHONY JACOB$4K · $0 COH
  • DJulie Gonzales$979K · $144K COHlost · 47.2%
Race & money →Source ↗
Delaware U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Chris Coons seeks a third full term in a safely Democratic state; primaries are not until September.

Safe D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 15 primary.

Primary · Sep 15 · upcoming›
  • DChris Coons· inc$3.9M · $4.7M COH
  • DBEARDSLEY, CHRISTOPHER MR.$22K · $9K COH
  • IBLAND, DEXTER
  • RCOPPOLA, ALEC
  • RJohn Shulli$105K · $46K COH
  • DLOUVE, MARY
  • RMichael Katz$70K · $38K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSTEVENS, TRAVIS
Race & money →Source ↗
Idaho U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Jim Risch won renomination for a fourth term; Democrat David Roth advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1974.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RJim Risch· inc$3.4M · $3.5M COH
  • DDavid Roth$9K · $1K COH
  • ITodd Achilles$692K · $194K COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RJim Risch· inc$3.4M · $3.5M COHwon · 67.3%
  • DDavid Roth$9K · $1K COHwon · 61.9%
  • ITodd Achilles$692K · $194K COH
  • DBONDS, NICKOLAS
  • REVANS, JOE$8K · $91 COH
  • UFLEMING, NATALIE M
  • RLAVE, DENNY$171K · $0 COH
  • RROY, JOSHUA S$57K · $4K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Illinois U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Dick Durbin retiring; Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won a competitive Democratic primary over Reps. Krishnamoorthi and Kelly, and faces Republican Don Tracy.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
  • DJuliana Stratton$5.9M · $1.1M COH
  • RDon Tracy$2.5M · $1.5M COH
Primary · Mar 17 · results›
  • DJuliana Stratton$5.9M · $1.1M COHwon · 40.4%
  • RDon Tracy$2.5M · $1.5M COHwon · 40%
  • DDURBIN, RICHARD J.· inc$80K · $1.0M COH
  • RBARTZIS, PANAGIOTI JOHN MR
  • RBENNETT, DOUGLAS$1K · $2K COH
  • DBOTSFORD, STEVE$373K · $100 COH
  • DBUSTOS, AWISI$42K · $0 COH
  • RCAPPARELLI, R CARY$13K · $829 COH
  • RCHLEBEK, CASIMER MR.$202K · $27 COH
  • DDEAN, JONATHAN$124K · $13K COH
  • DDELGADO, ADAM$59K · $3K COH
  • RGOODMAN, JOHN$29K · $6K COH
  • IHARRINGTON, WHITFIELD MR JR$101K · $4K COH
  • RJONES, LLOYD
  • DLEAVELL, STANLEY MR.
  • RLONG, PAMELA$25K · $2K COH
  • DMAXWELL, BRYAN$22K · $1K COH
  • IMINK, AUSTIN JAMES
  • IMUHAMMAD, TYRONE
  • RORTEGA, JANUARIO MR.
  • DPALMER, ROBERT A MR
  • DRODRIQUEZ, ADAIR$236 · $0 COH
  • DRYAN, KEVIN$139K · $-10051 COH
  • OSCHILLING, JOSEPH DAVID
  • ISCHWARTZBERG, STEVEN J$6K · $6K COH
  • DSHEPHERD, JUMP WESLEY$4K · $-7594 COH
  • ISMITH, ANTHONY J MR
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSWANN, CHRISTOPHER ALEXANDER$18K · $-409 COH
  • RTILLMAN, JIMMY LEE II
  • RJeannie Evans$1.3M · $3K COHlost
  • DRaja Krishnamoorthi$32M · $75K COHlost
  • DRobin Kelly$3.5M · $30K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Kansas U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Roger Marshall seeks a second term in a safely Republican state; a crowded Democratic primary remains unsettled.

Safe R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
  • RRoger Marshall· inc$4.0M · $5.4M COH
  • DAdam Hamilton$4.2M · $1.7M COH
  • DDAVIS, CHRISTY$194K · $86K COH
  • DHART, JASON$51K · $547 COH
  • RLAPORTE, CHASE
  • DLATZ, KEVIN$40K · $75K COH
  • DMURRAY, ERIK$213K · $12K COH
  • DPARELKAR, LOIS ANNE ELIZABETH LEA$33K · $3K COH
  • DPatrick Schmidt$256K · $5K COH
  • DSOETAERT, MICHAEL
  • DSPIDEL NEUMANN, SANDY$411K · $161K COH
  • DTAYLOR, NOAH$162K · $13K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Kentucky U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Mitch McConnell retiring; Trump-backed Rep. Andy Barr won the GOP primary and faces Democrat Charles Booker.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RAndy Barr$10.0M · $2.3M COH
  • DCharles Booker$1.1M · $310K COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RAndy Barr$10.0M · $2.3M COHwon · 60.5%
  • DCharles Booker$1.1M · $310K COHwon · 47%
  • RMCCONNELL, MITCH· inc$217K · $7.3M COH
  • OCAMPBELL, CHRISTOPHER TODD
  • RCATLETT, ANISSA
  • RDUNCAN, JAMES D
  • IDUNCAN, SCOTT MICHEAL
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL$62K · $-16841 COH
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL JAMES$62K · $-16841 COH
  • DFORSYTHE, LOGAN$47K · $3K COH
  • RKENNEDY, WENDE CAROL MS
  • DRANDALL, JARED
  • DROMANS, DALE$838K · $167K COH
  • RSHELLEY, *ANDREW NICHOLAS
  • DTHOMPSON, VINCENT ANTHONY
  • RTRIMBLE, JACOB DANIEL
  • RWENZEL, DONALD RAY$3K · $0 COH
  • DWILLETT, JOEL$350K · $29K COH
  • DAmy McGrath$2.4M · $3K COHlost
  • RDaniel Cameron$2.3M · $8K COHlost
  • RNate Morris$8.6M · $383K COHlost
  • DPamela Stevenson$311K · $-13505 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Louisiana U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Bill Cassidy was denied renomination under Louisiana's new partisan-primary system; Rep. Julia Letlow won the June 27 runoff and faces Democrat Jamie Davis.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • DJamie Davis$2.0M · $479K COH
  • RJulia Letlow$6.2M · $1.4M COH
Primary · May 16 · results›
  • DJamie Davis$2.0M · $479K COHwon · 79.9%
  • RJulia Letlow$6.2M · $1.4M COHwon · 56.9%
  • DALBARES, NICHOLAS S.$143K · $0 COH
  • RARRINGTON, RANDALL STEVEN PHD
  • DBURKE, TRACIE
  • RCOTTONHAM, MARKEDA ANN
  • DCROCKETT, GARY$350K · $271K COH
  • RDENDY, TRACY COLLENE
  • REMERSON, JULIE CATHRYN$689K · $28K COH
  • RHOLDER, CHRISTOPHER LEE MR.
  • RJOHN, XAN MR.
  • WLABRANCHE, JAMIE
  • RMIGUEZ, BLAKE$6.6M · $2.0M COH
  • RMOROTT, JOSHUA
  • RSEIDEN, KATHY W$1.2M · $0 COH
  • RSKRMETTA, ERIC$68K · $5K COH
  • RSPENCER, MARK$5K · $55 COH
  • DWALKER, JABARIE
  • RWYATT, SAMUEL LEE MR.$299K · $3K COH
  • RJohn Fleming$12M · $40K COHlost · 28.3%
  • RBill Cassidy· inc$7.0M · $4.8M COHlost · 24.8%
Race & money →Source ↗
Massachusetts U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term and faces a September primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton; Republican John Deaton is the presumptive GOP nominee.

Safe D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 1 primary.

Primary · Sep 1 · upcoming›
  • DEd Markey· inc$4.8M · $2.2M COH
  • IAYYADURAI, SHIVA DR$22K · $1K COH
  • RBECH, NATHAN ALEXANDER$80K · $29K COH
  • IDAWICKI, MORGAN GIFFORD$16K · $4K COH
  • DGATES, WILLIAM FRANCIS MR.
  • RJohn Deaton$1.5M · $727K COH
  • DRIKLEEN, ALEXANDER$79K · $2K COH
  • DSeth Moulton$5.7M · $2.6M COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • OTACHE, JOSEPH$148K · $31K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Mississippi U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith won renomination; Democrat Scott Colom advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1982.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 10 · results›
  • RCindy Hyde-Smith· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 80.8%
  • DScott Colom$2.4M · $847K COHwon · 72.9%
  • DLITTELL, ALBERT R
  • IPINKINS, TY$98K · $5K COH
  • RSMITH, ANDREW SCOTT
  • DTILL, PRISCILLA WILLIAMS$9K · $0 COH
  • RSarah Adlakha$566K · $10K COHlost · 19.2%
Race & money →Source ↗
New Jersey U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Cory Booker, who ran unopposed in his primary, is strongly favored to win a third full term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy in this heavily Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DCory Booker· inc$19M · $23M COHwon · 100%
  • RJustin Murphy$27K · $123 COHwon · 33.3%
  • DCALLAHAN, SAXON
  • ICARDUCCI, NICHOLAS MATTHEW
  • IESTRADA, MICHAEL
  • IFERNANDEZ, VERONICA
  • DFIELDS, CHRIS
  • RLEBOVICS, ROBERT$178K · $10K COH
  • IMALDONADO, JUSTIN JUAN
  • DMCCORMICK, LISA
  • AMISSERI, MICHAEL
  • IRIVERA, NATALIE
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTABOR, RICHARD JEROME SR$27K · $0 COH
  • DTOMAINI, GREGORY RICHARD COLONEL
  • RZDAN, ALEX$48K · $5K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
New Mexico U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Ben Ray Lujan won his primary with 84.2% and is heavily favored for reelection against Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in this reliably Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DBen Ray Lujan· inc$5.6M · $4.4M COHwon · 84.2%
  • RLarry Marker$34K · $12K COHadvanced · 100%
  • ICARRARO, JOSEPH JOHN
  • RCHANNON, MATT
  • ICHICK, CAMERON ALTON MR. SR.
  • DDODSON, MATT$33K · $183 COH
  • RL, BEN R JR.
  • IOCONNELL, MELISSA MIRA
  • JSMITH, TOBY MR.
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗
Oklahoma U.S. Senate

After Markwayne Mullin resigned to join the Cabinet, U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern won the Republican primary with 69.8% and is heavily favored, while Democrats Jasmine Thomas and Jim Priest head to an August 25 runoff.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RKevin Hern$10.0M · $2.5M COH
  • DJasmine Thomas$52K · $254 COH
  • DJim Priest$316K · $44K COH
Primary · Jun 16 · results›
  • RKevin Hern$10.0M · $2.5M COHwon · 69.8%
  • DJasmine Thomas$52K · $254 COHrunoff · 45.2%
  • DJim Priest$316K · $44K COHrunoff · 23.9%
  • RMULLIN, MARKWAYNE· inc$3.2M · $1.4M COH
  • DBECK, WILLIAM EVAN SCOTT
  • RBUCKNER, WILLIAM SEAN
  • DCASSITY, R.O.
  • RENGLAND, GARY TY MR.$19K · $4K COH
  • DGREEN, TROY WESLEY$33K · $9K COH
  • RHANKINS, NICKY JOE$3K · $0 COH
  • RINHOFE, JAMES M. SEN.
  • DLAVANN, REBEKAH JEQETTA
  • IMEINHARDT, RON$9K · $1K COH
  • RRAGAIN, BRIAN MATTHEW$27K · $7K COH
  • RSWEARENGIN, TAMMY
  • RWASHINGTON, WAYNE LONNY DR.
  • DYEN, ERVIN STONE DR$21K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Oregon U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley won his primary with 93.2% and is heavily favored to win a fourth term against Republican state senator David Brock Smith in this reliably blue state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • DJeff Merkley· inc$4.5M · $6.8M COHwon · 93.2%
  • RDavid Brock Smith$121K · $29K COHwon · 29.5%
  • RMCALMOND, RUSSELL
  • RPERKINS, JO RAE$11K · $153 COH
  • DRYAN, JACOB
  • RSKELTON, TIMOTHY WILLIAM
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗
Rhode Island U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jack Reed is heavily favored to win a sixth term, leading primary challenger Connor Burbridge and expected Republican nominee Raymond McKay in this reliably Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 9 primary.

Primary · Sep 9 · upcoming›
  • DJack Reed· inc$3.1M · $3.6M COH
  • IBAHRY, MICHAEL$5K · $2K COH
  • DConnor Burbridge$19K · $4K COH
  • ILINDLEY, JON
  • DMUNOZ, LUIS DANIEL DR
  • RRaymond McKay$163K · $3K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RWATERS, ALLEN
Race & money →Source ↗
South Carolina U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Lindsey Graham won his primary with 56.8% and is favored to win a fifth term against Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews in this reliably Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • DAnnie Andrews
  • RLindsey Graham· inc
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DAnnie Andrewswon · 61.5%
  • RLindsey Graham· incwon · 56.8%
  • RGRAHAM, LINDSEY O.· inc$6.8M · $2.3M COH
  • RBAUER, ANDRE$216K · $0 COH
  • LBRENKUS, JASON ELLIOT
  • DBROWN, BRANDON$86K · $0 COH
  • DBRUCE, CATHERINE FLEMING MS.
  • RCOWEN, CALVIN$13K · $2K COH
  • RDANS, PAUL$1.1M · $122K COH
  • RDISMUKES, THOMAS KEITH$25K · $10 COH
  • NELLISON, JACK
  • DFREEMAN, KYLE ODONNELL$44K · $2K COH
  • DGIRACELLO, CHRISTOPHER
  • IGLASER, CINDY E
  • RHERRMANN, PATRICK JOSEPH$17K · $10 COH
  • RHOLLIMAN, ETHAN CLAY
  • DJOHNSON, LEE$569K · $0 COH
  • ILOUIS, DONAVAN ARTHUR MR$3K · $0 COH
  • RLYNCH, MARK$5.9M · $547K COH
  • RMITCHELL, DARIUS L.
  • ISEDLETSKY, PAUL
  • ISTRUNGE, EDWARD IV
  • LWHITENER, KASIE DR.$17K · $3K COH
  • IWRIGHT-MCDONALD, REECE
Race & money →Source ↗
South Dakota U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Mike Rounds won his primary with 75.8% and is heavily favored to win a third term against Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RMike Rounds· inc$3.2M · $2.7M COH
  • DJulian Beaudion$228K · $3K COH
  • IBrian Bengs$782K · $51K COH
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RMike Rounds· inc$3.2M · $2.7M COHwon · 75.8%
  • DJulian Beaudion$228K · $3K COHwon
  • IBrian Bengs$782K · $51K COH
  • RMCNEAL, JUSTIN S$11K · $1 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Tennessee U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty, the presumptive GOP nominee, is heavily favored to win a second term, with 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw leading the Democratic field in this reliably Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 6 primary.

Primary · Aug 6 · upcoming›
  • RBill Hagerty· inc$7.2M · $5.2M COH
  • DBREWER, MARIA A$9K · $5K COH
  • UCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • ICHANDLER, THARON
  • IJONES, ROBERT THOMAS
  • DMarquita Bradshaw$2K · $1K COH
  • IMATTHEWS, YOSHI D.
  • DMCCANTS, KEVIN LEE MR.
  • DMILLER-WATKINS, CIVIL$6K · $3K COH
  • FMIXON, ANDREW WOODRUFF MR
  • DONYEJIAKA, DIANA
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • ISUTMAN, DAVID JR$9K · $500 COH
  • IWHITSON, CATHERINE BARCEL MS BARCY
Race & money →Source ↗
West Virginia U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Shelley Moore Capito won her primary with 66.5% and is heavily favored to win reelection against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson in this deeply Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RShelley Moore Capito· inc
  • DRachel Fetty Anderson
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • RShelley Moore Capito· incwon · 66.5%
  • DRachel Fetty Andersonwon · 33.2%
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • REVANS, JONATHAN DERRICK$1.2M · $93K COH
  • DFETTY ANDERSON, RACHEL LEE$22K · $13K COH
  • RGAASERUD, ALEXANDER$3K · $1K COH
  • DKESSLER, JEFFREY VINCENT
  • RMCKINNEY, BRYAN
  • RMCNULTY, JANET$7K · $0 COH
  • IPHILLIPS, RIO$14K · $152 COH
  • DSHREWSBURY, ZACHARY C$516K · $-2854 COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RWILLIS, THOMAS EDWARD II$642K · $0 COH
  • CWILSON, S. MARSHALL$2K · $499 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Wyoming U.S. Senate

With Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Trump- and Lummis-endorsed U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman is the heavy favorite for this open seat in deeply Republican Wyoming, with Democrat James Byrd also running.

Safe R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • RLUMMIS, CYNTHIA MARIE MRS.· inc$1.5M · $915K COH
  • DBYRD, JAMES WILLARD MR.$20K · $2K COH
  • RHarriet Hageman
  • RHOLTZ, JOHN
  • DJames Byrd
  • RMEAD, SAMUEL$252K · $165K COH
  • RRASNER, REID$2.0M · $81K COH
  • RSKOVGARD, JIMMY MR$7K · $4K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗

Competitive House

47 districts

Alabama

AL-02 U.S. House

Democratic freshman Shomari Figures faces a difficult new GOP-drawn map after Alabama's mid-2026 redistricting; a special Aug. 11 primary will pick his Republican challenger in a seat rated likely to flip.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 11 primary.

Primary · Aug 11 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗

Arizona

AZ-01 U.S. House

Open seat after five-term GOP Rep. David Schweikert left to run for governor, flipping this Phoenix-area district to a toss-up; a crowded July 21 primary features Democrats Amish Shah and Marlene Galan-Woods and Republicans led by ex-state Rep. Joseph Chaplik.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Jul 21 primary.

Primary · Jul 21 · upcoming›
  • RSCHWEIKERT, DAVID S.· inc$1.7M · $17K COH
  • IAJLUNI, CHRISTOPHER$4K · $0 COH
  • LALPONTE, MONICA MARIA$9K · $634 COH
  • DAmish Shah$1.8M · $402K COH
  • DBARRAZA, ANDRES ADAN
  • DDEL VECCHIO, BRIAN A$15K · $0 COH
  • DDONNELLY, BRANDON
  • RDUEY, JASON S.
  • RGALLEGO, DERRICK
  • DGORDON, MARK ROBERT$299K · $62K COH
  • RJay Feely$2.5M · $794K COH
  • RJohn Trobough$1.2M · $85K COH
  • DJonathan Treble$4.0M · $659K COH
  • RJoseph Chaplik$605K · $130K COH
  • DLUCIO, DANIEL LEE$3K · $1K COH
  • DMarlene Galan-Woods$2.2M · $539K COH
  • DMONTOYA, ANGIE$4K · $628 COH
  • RPURRINGTON, KAITLIN
  • RREEVS, PAUL C$111K · $0 COH
  • DRick McCartney$1.3M · $252K COH
  • RSOWERS, BRANDON$18K · $0 COH
  • RSWOBODA, GINA$222K · $0 COH
  • DWEINTRAUB, VICTOR H. MR.
Race & money →Source ↗
AZ-02 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Eli Crane seeks reelection in a GOP-leaning northern/eastern Arizona district that Democrats are contesting.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Jul 21 primary.

Primary · Jul 21 · upcoming›
  • REli Crane· inc$9.5M · $2.8M COH
  • DDESCHEENIE, ERIC$4K · $2K COH
  • DJonathan Nez$3.5M · $1.9M COH
Race & money →Source ↗
AZ-06 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani defends one of the nation's premier swing seats in the Tucson-area 6th; Democrat JoAnna Mendoza is the party's leading challenger heading into the uncontested July 21 primary after rivals dropped out.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Jul 21 primary.

Primary · Jul 21 · upcoming›
  • RJuan Ciscomani· inc$6.2M · $4.1M COH
  • ABAH, IMAN$195 · $225 COH
  • IDICKERSON, TREVOR$19K · $6K COH
  • DDONAT, CHRIS$21K · $0 COH
  • DGOLDMAN, MO
  • DJoAnna Mendoza$7.4M · $3.3M COH
  • LPETERS, JEREME LANCE$11K · $0 COH
  • DSEVERSON, SAMANTHA
  • DSWALLOW, AIDEN NICHOLETTE
  • GSWING, GARY
  • DWEEKS, CARTER JORDAN
  • DJohnathan Bumawithdrew
Race & money →Source ↗

California

CA-13 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, boosted by California's Prop 50 remap, and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced from the top-two primary in this Central Valley swing seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
  • DAdam Gray· inc
  • RKevin Lincoln
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DAdam Gray· incadvanced
  • RKevin Lincolnadvanced
  • DGRAY, ADAM C.· inc$4.2M · $2.1M COH
  • NESCOBEDO, ALBERTO
  • DGARIBAY RODRIGUEZ, DANIEL
  • RKRUTTIVENTI, VIN$3.7M · $6K COH
  • RLINCOLN, KEVIN J II$2.2M · $838K COH
  • RLOPEZ, JAVIER B$146K · $619 COH
  • DSIGALA, ANGELINA
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-21 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Jim Costa and Republican Kyle Kirkland advanced from the June 2 top-two primary in this Fresno-area district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DJim Costa· inc$1.3M · $938K COHadvanced
  • RKyle Kirklandadvanced
  • DGARCIA, ERIC$613 · $19 COH
  • DHUBBARD, LOURIN
  • NKRUSE, LANCE ALVIN$2K · $160 COH
  • RRIOS, LORENZO$430K · $65K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-22 U.S. House

In this heavily Latino, Democratic-leaning Central Valley district, GOP Rep. David Valadao (40.7%) and Democrat Randy Villegas (32.2%) advanced from the June 2 top-two primary; Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains finished third (27.2%). A perennial toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-45 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Derek Tran led the top-two primary (about 53%) with Republican Chuong Vo advancing second in this Orange County/Little Saigon seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
  • DDerek Tran· inc
  • RChuong Vo
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DDerek Tran· incadvanced · 52.6%
  • RChuong Voadvanced · 14.6%
  • DFORDE, BRIAN
  • RKY-PHONG VO, THOMAS$757K · $0 COH
  • RLEONARD, MARK ANDREW$26K · $18K COH
  • RNGUYEN, CHI CHARLIE$485K · $0 COH
  • RPHAN WEST, AMY$59K · $4K COH
  • RSTEEL, MICHELLE$1.3M · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-48 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Darrell Issa retiring) made competitive by Prop 50; Democrat Marni von Wilpert and Republican Jim Desmond advanced from the top-two primary.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
  • RJim Desmond$2.3M · $1.2M COH
  • DMarni von Wilpert
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJim Desmond$2.3M · $1.2M COHadvanced
  • DMarni von Wilpertadvanced
  • RISSA, DARRELL· inc$2.1M · $2.7M COH
  • IBUCY, MICHAEL WILLIAM
  • DCAMPA-NAJJAR, AMMAR$1.3M · $102K COH
  • DCHAVEZ, ABEL$473K · $11K COH
  • DCLEMONS, STEPHEN
  • DCONTRERAS, CORINNA$36K · $0 COH
  • DDAVIS, NICHOLAS
  • DDIXIT, ANUJ$466K · $168K COH
  • RGAUTEREAUX, CORY
  • DIANNARINO, MARC$45K · $0 COH
  • UMORA, ALBERT JAMES
  • DMORRISON, CURTIS$36K · $0 COH
  • DNASH, BRIAN L
  • DPORTER, FERGUSON$62K · $22K COH
  • NREYNA, LUIS FERNANDO
  • DRIKER, BRANDON$2.3M · $21K COH
  • DSCHAEFER, MIKE
  • DSCHULTZ, JOHN THOMAS MR.
  • DSHANAHAN, WHITNEY$4K · $1K COH
  • DSHAW, ERIC
  • DTILL, SUZANNE MARIE DR.$7K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗

Colorado

CO-08 U.S. House

Colorado's marquee toss-up in the Denver-area 8th: GOP freshman Rep. Gabe Evans (unopposed) faces Democrat Manny Rutinel, who won the June 30 primary with 60.9% over state Rep. Shannon Bird (34.3%).

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • RGabe Evans· inc$5.4M · $3.9M COHwon · 100%
  • DManny Rutinel$4.3M · $601K COHwon · 60.9%
  • DBACA-OEHLERT, AMIE$135K · $14K COH
  • DCARAVEO, YADIRA$259K · $0 COH
  • RDERITO, ADAM$29K · $3K COH
  • DHASSLER, DANIEL SHANE MR$6K · $0 COH
  • DJOHNSON, LARRY
  • DMUNSING, EVAN$623K · $5K COH
  • DSZEMLER, JOHN FRANCIS
  • DYOUNG, DAVID L.$197K · $15K COH
  • DShannon Bird$2.3M · $230K COHlost · 34.3%
Race & money →Source ↗

Florida

FL-09 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Darren Soto's Orlando-area seat was made more Republican by DeSantis's 2026 remap; the Aug. 18 GOP primary will set his challenger.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • DDarren Soto· inc
  • RBen Butler$335K · $282K COH
  • RCARTER, GREGORY MARCUS MR$21K · $3K COH
  • RCHALIFOUX, THOMAS E. COLONEL JR.$3.1M · $2.7M COH
  • NFARBER, STUART DR
  • RGREEN, DAN$1.1M · $879K COH
  • RMALAVET, JORGE ANTONIO$28K · $39 COH
  • RMARTINEZ, JORGE$793K · $757K COH
  • RRANCE, HOWARD STEVEN$136K · $8K COH
  • RSTORY, JUSTIN$92K · $43K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-13 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Anna Paulina Luna defends her Tampa Bay/Pinellas seat against Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-14 U.S. House

The DeSantis remap shifted Democratic Rep. Kathy Castor's Tampa seat rightward, drawing a crowded Aug. 18 GOP primary to try to flip it.

Lean R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • DKathy Castor· inc$2.0M · $1.5M COH
  • DARAUZ, JUAN
  • WHERNANDEZ, SALOMON
  • RKevin Steele
  • LLAMBERT, BRIAN KEITH
  • RMARCEL, MICHAEL$19K · $4K COH
  • RMike Beltran$2.1M · $2.0M COH
  • RMISHIYEV, ERIK MAGA
  • RPETERS, JOHN$166K · $102K COH
  • RROCHFORD, ROBERT ANTHONY ROCKY CAPT$265K · $164K COH
  • RSORIANO, GAVRIEL ELIYAHU$2K · $25 COH
  • RTEK, ERGIN AKA BATMAN$41K · $919 COH
  • RVALENTI, BEA$202K · $168K COH
  • RWELDON, DANIEL$120K · $32K COH
  • RWICK, JOHN CHARLES$7K · $0 COH
  • RWILLIAMS, SHAY$23K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-27 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar defends her Miami seat; a crowded Aug. 18 Democratic primary (Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, Mike Davey) will pick her challenger.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 18 primary.

Primary · Aug 18 · upcoming›
  • RMaria Elvira Salazar· inc
  • RARIAS, VINCENT MICHAEL$134K · $57K COH
  • DFORNINO, ALEXANDER$25K · $-719 COH
  • DLAMONDIN, RICHARD$744K · $0 COH
  • DMike Davey$45K · $13K COH
  • DRobin Peguero
  • DRODRIGUEZ, ELIOTT$617K · $446K COH
Race & money →Source ↗

Iowa

IA-1 U.S. House

A third straight Miller-Meeks vs. Bohannan rematch after the nation's closest 2024 House race (~800 votes). Both won contested June 2 primaries; Cook rates the southeastern-Iowa seat a pure toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
IA-02 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson running for Senate); Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James won their June 2 primaries.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
  • RJoe Mitchell
  • DLindsay James
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJoe Mitchellwon
  • DLindsay Jameswon
  • RARENHOLZ, ASHLEY HINSON· inc$10M · $6.7M COH
  • RBLUM, RODNEY$250K · $247K COH
  • IBUSHAW, DAVE$26K · $12K COH
  • DDOLTER, KATHRYN J$75K · $415 COH
  • RLUNDGREN, SHANNON$92K · $0 COH
  • RMCCLINTOCK, CHARLIE$18K · $13K COH
  • DMORGAN, GUY$5K · $2K COH
  • DPRIMUS, DONALD K.
  • DTECHAU, KEVIN W$147K · $0 COH
  • DTWEDT-BALL, CLINTON GENE$585K · $11K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
IA-3 U.S. House

Two-term GOP Rep. Zach Nunn (re-elected 51.8% in 2024) faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in this Des Moines-based district. Both ran unopposed in the June 2 primary; Cook rates the seat a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Maine

Michigan

MI-04 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Bill Huizenga seeks reelection in a Grand Rapids-area seat trending Democratic; state Sen. Sean McCann is the leading Democrat ahead of the Aug. 4 primary.

Lean R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
  • RBill Huizenga· inc
  • RHUIZENGA, WILLIAM P· inc$4.1M · $2.3M COH
  • DAARON, RICHARD
  • DHARRIS, DIOP JERMAINE MR II$142K · $7K COH
  • UJOHNSON, AUSTIN
  • DSean McCann
  • DSWARTZ, JESSICA$342K · $99K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
MI-7 U.S. House

Freshman GOP Rep. Tom Barrett defends an even-PVI Lansing-area seat he flipped in 2024. Democrats hold a competitive Aug. 4 primary led by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, with Matt Maasdam and Sunrise co-founder William Lawrence also running; Cook rates it a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗
MI-10 U.S. House

Open Macomb County seat after GOP Rep. John James left to run for governor, with contested Aug. 4 primaries on both sides (R front-runner: Trump-endorsed Mike Bouchard; D: former Pontiac mayor Tim Greimel and prosecutor Christina Hines). Cook rates it Lean R; Sabato calls it a toss-up.

Lean R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗

Minnesota

MN-01 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Brad Finstad faces a stronger-than-expected challenge from Democrat Jake Johnson in this southern Minnesota seat; primary Aug. 11.

Likely R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 11 primary.

Primary · Aug 11 · upcoming›
  • RBrad Finstad· inc
  • DEATON, ALEX$79K · $14K COH
  • DJake Johnson
  • DJOHNSON, JACOB$2.0M · $1.0M COH
  • RMORLAN, OLIVER RODERICK$526 · $143 COH
  • DSMITH, ANDY
  • IYOUNGERBERG, LUCAS TODD
Race & money →Source ↗

Montana

MT-01 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke retiring); Republican Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag won their June 2 primaries in this western Montana district.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

North Carolina

NC-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Don Davis defends a redrawn, GOP-leaning eastern district against Republican Laurie Buckhout.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RLaurie Buckhout$3.8M · $1.8M COHwon · 38.73%
  • DDon Davis· inc$4.3M · $3.6M COHwon
  • LBAILEY, TOM
  • RBUCK, ASA BRYANT III$339K · $0 COH
  • RHANIG, BOBBY$361K · $237 COH
  • RROBERSON, SANDY$3.5M · $23K COH
  • RROUSE, ERIC
  • RRUSSELL, ASHLEY NICOLE$222K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
NC-11 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Chuck Edwards faces Democrat Jamie Ager, a farmer, in western North Carolina.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Nebraska

NE-2 U.S. House

Open seat as Republican Don Bacon retires; Democrat Denise Powell faces Republican Brinker Harding in the Omaha-based swing district.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

New Hampshire

NH-1 U.S. House

Open seat as Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas runs for Senate; Democrats Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard lead a crowded September primary field.

Lean D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 8 primary.

Primary · Sep 8 · upcoming›
  • DPAPPAS, CHRIS· inc$13M · $5.2M COH
  • RBAILEY, MELISSA$211K · $116K COH
  • DBERIONT, CARLEIGH$506K · $77K COH
  • RBRIGHT, CHRIS$25K · $1K COH
  • DCHADZYNSKI, SARAH$101K · $5K COH
  • RCOLE, BRIAN$483K · $126K COH
  • RDILORENZO, ANTHONY$2.3M · $1.2M COH
  • RGIRARD, ELIZABETH$178K · $0 COH
  • DHeath Howard$43K · $-9733 COH
  • RHollie Noveletsky$551K · $292K COH
  • DStefany Shaheen$2.2M · $1.2M COH
  • DSULLIVAN, MAURA CORBY$3.3M · $1.6M COH
  • DURRUTIA, CHRISTIAN$1.0M · $220K COH
Race & money →Source ↗

New Jersey

NJ-7 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr., unopposed in the GOP primary, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a Navy veteran who emerged from a large June 2 field, in one of the nation's most closely divided battlegrounds.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

New Mexico

NM-2 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez defends a southern New Mexico swing seat against Republican Greg Cunningham.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RGreg Cunningham$1.5M · $794K COHwon · 84%
  • DGabe Vasquez· inc$3.8M · $2.4M COHwon
  • RARAGON, EDDY$5K · $0 COH
  • ROROZCO, JOSE$219K · $3K COH
  • DWAKELY, TOM
Race & money →Source ↗

Nevada

NV-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Dina Titus, a top GOP target, faces Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in her Las Vegas district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DDina Titus· inc$1.5M · $1.3M COHwon · 79%
  • RCarrie Buck$1.9M · $654K COHwon · 78%
  • RARNOLD, MARIE ENCAR ARANA
  • RBLOCKEY, JIM$22K · $474 COH
  • RBORIS, MICHAEL$78K · $63K COH
  • DCORNEJO, GABRIEL
  • RGURNER, ROY WILLIAM MR
  • RHANOFF, KEITH$32K · $0 COH
  • DHOOVER, JOY$82K · $544 COH
  • OHOUSTON, J E II
  • IKHAN, AFZAL$86K · $3K COH
  • RMARCHANT, JIM$5K · $0 COH
  • DPANIAGUA, LUIS
  • DPERESZLENYI, ALEX$9K · $0 COH
  • RSAGE, RICK
  • ITHOMAS, ANTHONY MR JR.
Race & money →Source ↗
NV-3 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Susie Lee defends a perennial swing seat against Trump-backed Republican Marty O'Donnell.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DSusie Lee· inc$4.4M · $3.7M COHwon · 73%
  • RMarty O'Donnell$4.1M · $2.4M COHwon · 44%
  • RANDERSON, TERA$320K · $27K COH
  • RBRANDLIN, CHRISTOPHER PAUL$191K · $0 COH
  • RDOMINGUEZ, LYDIA$27K · $0 COH
  • RGUNTER, JEFF DR.$809K · $6K COH
  • DHUTCHINSON, SEAN WILLIAM
  • RKENNEDY, RONDA$350K · $261K COH
  • DLALLY, JAMES DR.$1.3M · $38K COH
  • RLONDON, STEVEN$42K · $0 COH
  • RNAGY, AURY$1.1M · $746K COH
  • RPARKER, LUCENA
  • DROBINSON, TERRILL$3K · $3K COH
  • RSHOAF, ELGIN LEDESMA
  • RWALTERS, JOSHUA$48K · $0 COH
  • DWEST, BRANDON
Race & money →Source ↗

New York

NY-3 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Tom Suozzi faces a rematch with Republican Mike LiPetri on Long Island.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
  • DThomas Suozzi· inc$5.5M · $5.7M COHwon
  • RMike LiPetri$1.7M · $724K COHwon
  • RHACH, GREGORY$676K · $13K COH
  • RLAVERY, MICHAEL JOSEPH MR
  • DWELCH, DANIELLE$50K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
NY-4 U.S. House

Freshman Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen defends her Long Island seat against Republican Jeanine Driscoll.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
  • DLaura Gillen· inc$5.1M · $3.8M COHwon
  • RJeanine Driscoll$265K · $226K COHwon
  • DBIERRIA-ANDERSON, KIANA$27K · $9K COH
  • DDARLING, TAYLOR R$34K · $2K COH
  • DJONES, GIAN A$7K · $12K COH
  • DLOZADA, FRANK
  • RMANDEL, MICHAEL
  • RMCGRATH, DENNIS JOSEPH MR.$10K · $1K COH
  • RMILLER, BRIAN
  • DSCIRETTA, NICHOLAS JUDE$7 · $7 COH
  • RSUBER WILLIAMS, MARVIN$137K · $1K COH
  • ITARNOFF, BLAY$25K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
NY-17 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Mike Lawler defends this Hudson Valley swing seat against Democrat Cait Conley, a West Point graduate and Army veteran who won a competitive June 23 primary, in a marquee toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Ohio

OH-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman defends his Cincinnati-based seat against Republican Eric Conroy, a former CIA officer.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • DGreg Landsman· inc$4.6M · $3.6M COHwon
  • REric Conroy$1.5M · $474K COHwon
  • RADAMS, HOLLY$413K · $0 COH
  • RERBECK, STEVEN$805K · $24K COH
  • DFERREIRA, LINDSEY MARIE
  • LHANCOCK, JOHN DAVID JR$1K · $1K COH
  • DLYNCH, DAMON IV$14K · $4K COH
  • ROGLESBY-HENRY, ROSEMARY$44K · $186 COH
  • LSTOOPS, JASON DWIGHT
Race & money →Source ↗
OH-9 U.S. House

Longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in congressional history, faces a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won a five-way May 5 GOP primary, after narrowly beating him in this Toledo-area toss-up in 2024.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • RDerek Merrin$1.5M · $531K COHwon · 44.1%
  • DMarcy Kaptur· inc$4.3M · $3.5M COHwon
  • RCAMPBELL, ANTHONY BRUCE$34K · $7K COH
  • RFROST, JACOB THOMAS MR.
  • LGEDERT, DAVID EDWARD
  • RKINSEL, WAYNE CHARLES$91K · $33K COH
  • WMCKINSTRY, KATHY
  • RNADEEM, ALEA$750K · $13K COH
  • RJosh Williamslost · 25.3%
  • RMadison Sheahanlost · 20.2%
Race & money →Source ↗

Pennsylvania

PA-1 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick faces Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie (D) in a Biden-won district.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBrian Fitzpatrick· inc$6.7M · $6.4M COHwon
  • DBob Harvie$2.0M · $795K COHwon
  • IHOBAN, JOHN J
  • DHUNT, TRACY$44K · $4K COH
  • LREMMEY, JAMIE FROST
  • DSIMONELLI, LUCIA DORA$94K · $5K COH
  • DSTRICKLER, ROBERT J$26K · $-6576 COH
  • DTAFT, THOMAS PRINDLE MR.
  • DWAGNER, WILLIAM WARREN JR
  • DZELTAKALNS, MICHAEL$7K · $7K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
PA-7 U.S. House

Freshman Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, who ousted Democrat Susan Wild in 2024 with just over 50% in the Lehigh Valley, faces Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighters' union president who won a four-way May 19 primary with 41%. One of the purest toss-ups in the country.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
PA-8 U.S. House

Freshman Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan, who flipped the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre seat in 2024, faces Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti (D); both were unopposed in the primary. Cook rates the northeastern Pennsylvania seat Lean Republican.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RRob Bresnahan· inc$5.2M · $2.6M COHwon
  • DPaige Cognetti$4.6M · $3.4M COHwon
  • DSTONE, ERIC BRYAN
Race & money →Source ↗
PA-10 U.S. House

A 2024 rematch: Republican Rep. Scott Perry faces former TV news anchor Janelle Stelson (D), who won the Democratic primary over Justin Douglas 67.5%-32.5%. Handicappers rate the Harrisburg-area seat a toss-up and one of the most vulnerable GOP-held districts.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Texas

TX-28 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in a South Texas border seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTano Tijerina$1.4M · $768K COHwon · 74%
  • DHenry Cuellar· inc$2.2M · $1.1M COHwon · 58%
  • ABENAVIDES, GEORGE ANDREW MR
  • RDAY, EILEEN
  • GDURAN, MARLON GERARDO MX.
  • RESPARZA, JUAN$32K · $0 COH
  • ILOPEZ, ADRIEL VENTURA
  • DTREVINO, RYAN
  • DVANTINE, CHAUNCE ANDREW
  • DVILLARREAL, RICARDO$68K · $22K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
TX-34 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez defends this South Texas toss-up against Republican Eric Flores, a former assistant U.S. attorney with Trump's endorsement who won the March 3 GOP primary outright, beating former Rep. Mayra Flores.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DVicente Gonzalez· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 62.7%
  • REric Flores$2.9M · $686K COHwon · 56.6%
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COH
  • RBUENTELLO, LUIS F$45K · $-1812 COH
  • GESPINOZA, EDDIE
  • RFLORES, MAYRA NOHEMI$1.4M · $1K COH
  • RGARZA, MAURO EVERETT MR.$13K · $0 COH
  • RHINOJOSA, ALFREDO JR.$36K · $0 COH
  • RKUNKLE, GREGORY SCOTT JR.$9K · $1K COH
  • RMANDEL, CHARLES$1.0M · $55K COH
  • RMORALES, MARIO ALBERTO$16K · $0 COH
  • RNAGY, JAY$15K · $0 COH
  • DROSAS, ETIENNE PH.D.$170K · $17K COH
  • DEtienne Rosaslost · 37.3%
  • RMayra Floreslost · 23.7%
Race & money →Source ↗

Virginia

VA-1 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Rob Wittman awaits an August primary in which seven Democrats, led by prosecutor Shannon Taylor, compete to challenge him.

Lean R
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗
VA-2 U.S. House

This coastal Hampton Roads seat is a genuine toss-up (Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections) as GOP Rep. Jen Kiggans seeks a third term. Four Democrats compete in the Aug. 4 primary, with former Rep. Elaine Luria the frontrunner, setting up a potential Kiggans-Luria rematch.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
  • RJen Kiggans· inc$6.0M · $3.4M COH
  • IALBRITTON, DEVINCHE JAVON
  • DBill Fleming$55K · $11K COH
  • DElaine Luria$4.7M · $3.6M COH
  • DNila Devanath$286K · $20K COH
  • DOSYF, JAMES$413K · $79K COH
  • DPatrick Mosolf$169K · $101K COH
  • DSLEISTER, NICOLAUS$5K · $0 COH
  • ISTATEN, GERAL DEFRANCE MR
  • DSTRICKLER, MATT$313K · $115K COH
  • DSTRINGFELLOW, JOHN BURK
  • RWilliam Matthews
  • DWILLIAMSON, MICHAEL$353K · $3K COH
Race & money →Source ↗

Washington

WA-3 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez heads into an August top-two primary with Republican state Sen. John Braun the leading challenger.

Lean D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 4 primary.

Primary · Aug 4 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗

Wisconsin

WI-3 U.S. House

This western Wisconsin district (Trump +7.5 in 2024) became a toss-up after Cook shifted it from Lean R, as GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term. Democrat Rebecca Cooke is making a third run, a rematch after losing by under three points in 2024, and faces Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge in the Aug. 11 primary.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Aug 11 primary.

Primary · Aug 11 · upcoming›
Race & money →Source ↗