2026 Elections

The fight for Congress

The 2026 U.S. Senate and competitive House races — the Senate outlook, the battlegrounds, and, with the primaries all but wrapped up, the general-election matchups now set for the November 3 ballot. Sourced from FEC filings and public reporting; refreshed on a schedule. Each race links to its candidates and the network money behind them.

The fight for the Senate

35 seats on the 2026 ballot

10 safe/likely D · 3 lean D · 6 toss-up · 0 lean R · 16 safe/likely R. Toss-ups decide control.

Safe D9
VACODEILMANJNMORRI
Likely D1
MN
Lean D3
GANCNH
Toss-up6
AKMEMIOH*IATX
Lean R
—
Likely R2
NEKS
Safe R14
FL*MTALARIDKYLAMSOKSCSDTNWVWY

* special election · click a state to jump to the race

Top races

the battlegrounds
Alaska U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Dan Sullivan seeks a third term but faces a serious challenge from former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola, whose entry turned this into a toss-up. Alaska uses an Aug. 18 top-four nonpartisan primary (not yet held) with a ranked-choice general; Cook and Sabato rate it Toss-up while Inside Elections leans it Republican.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DMary Peltola$19M · $4.6M COHwon · 49.5%
  • RDan Sullivan· inc$9.1M · $7.3M COHadvanced · 41.4%
  • DDIENER, ANN
  • DHAFNER, CAROL
  • RHEIKES, GERALD L. (JERRY)
  • RHOUSE DARDEN, DUSTIN THOMAS
  • LKOHLHAAS, SCOTT A.
  • DLESLIE, DAVID BRYAN
  • RMCELWAIN, HEATHER G
  • RMIKLOS, CHRISTOPHER
  • NROBERTS, REECE
Race & money →Source ↗
Maine U.S. Senate

Five-term Republican Susan Collins, the only GOP senator in a state Trump has lost three times, is the cycle's most vulnerable Republican incumbent and won her primary unopposed. Democratic June 9 primary winner Graham Platner (72%) dropped out July 8 amid a sexual-assault allegation, so Maine Democrats are choosing a replacement nominee by convention before the July 27 deadline; the race is rated Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
Michigan U.S. Senate

This open seat (Democrat Gary Peters is retiring) is the only Democratic-held seat up in a state Trump won in 2024, and every major forecaster rates it a pure Toss-up. The Aug. 4 Democratic primary is a two-way contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens (establishment-backed) and progressive Abdul El-Sayed after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign July 5; former GOP Rep. Mike Rogers is the presumptive Republican nominee.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • DAbdul El-Sayed$15M · $2.6M COHwon · 48.5%
  • RMike Rogers$11M · $4.5M COHwon
  • DPETERS, GARY· inc$248K · $6.5M COH
  • RBENHAM, KENT
  • RBRAGGS, MARNISHA BRECHE
  • LCHRISTENSEN, LYDIA LYNN
  • RHEURTEBISE, FREDERICK$10K · $0 COH
  • DHOWARD, RACHEL ELIZABETH$11K · $5K COH
  • IJOHNSON II, CRAIG HENLEY MR II
  • RKAMAL, ANDREW
  • TKOVALY, ROBERT
  • GMARSH, DOUGLAS PHILIP
  • RSCOTT, GENEVIEVE$83K · $3K COH
  • ISHERMAN, JASON
  • RSMITH, BERNADETTE$77K · $4K COH
  • NSTEPHENS, THOMAS WAYNE$1K · $780 COH
  • IWILLIS, VALERIE LEE
  • DZOLLNER, TRAVIS JOSEPH
  • DHaley Stevens$12M · $2.8M COHlost
  • DJoe Tate$244K · $0 COHwithdrew
  • DMallory McMorrow$11M · $1.9M COHwithdrew
Race & money →Source ↗
Ohio U.S. Senate (special)

This special election fills the remainder of J.D. Vance's term after he became vice president; Republican Jon Husted was appointed by Gov. DeWine in January 2025 and won his primary unopposed. Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, who lost his seat in 2024, won the Democratic nomination with about 89% and is attempting a comeback, making this a Toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
Georgia U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff, unopposed in his primary, defends one of only two Democratic-held seats in a state Trump carried in 2024. Republicans went to a June 16 runoff, where Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Mike Collins beat Derek Dooley with 55.5% to win the nomination; forecasters lean the general slightly to Ossoff.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RMike Collins$7.4M · $2.1M COHwon · 55.5%
  • DJon Ossoff· inc$77M · $43M COHwon
  • IBARTELL, ELBERT
  • RBOX, REAGAN$82K · $-200 COH
  • RBRIGMAN, BRADLEY
  • RBURTON, MARQUETT DAVON
  • RCAPPARELL, CHRISTOPHER PAUL
  • RCHAPMAN, CHRISTOPH LA'FLARE
  • RCLEMENT, CHRISTINA LOREN REV DR TRUSTE
  • RCOYNE, JOHN F III
  • IJACKSON, DEVELLE LAVAUGHN
  • DLEGETTE, KIA
  • RMCCOLUMN, JONATHAN MR$36K · $12K COH
  • RPILE, CHELSAE
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTEMPLE, RICK
  • RWATKINS, VINSON L
  • RBuddy Carter$7.3M · $60K COHlost
  • RDerek Dooley$4.7M · $351K COHlost
  • RJohn King$563K · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Iowa U.S. Senate

Republican Joni Ernst's decision not to seek a third term opened this seat in an increasingly red state. Trump-endorsed U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson won the GOP primary with 73.9%, and state Rep. Josh Turek won the Democratic nomination with about 63%; forecasters lean the race Republican.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
North Carolina U.S. Senate

This open seat opened when Republican Thom Tillis declined to seek a third term after opposing the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Popular former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper won his primary with 92% and Trump-endorsed former RNC chair Michael Whatley took the GOP nod with 64.6%; Cooper's strength has forecasters leaning the seat toward a Democratic flip.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DRoy Cooper$35M · $21M COHwon · 92%
  • RMichael Whatley$11M · $3.5M COHwon · 64.6%
  • RTILLIS, THOM R SEN· inc$4.7M · $3.6M COH
  • RAGNEW, BROOKS ALEXANDER
  • LBRAY, SHANNON
  • OCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • DCOLON, ROBERT
  • RDANSIE, RICHARD$2K · $630 COH
  • IDEBERRY, SHAUNESI YVETTE
  • GDUBLIN, MICHAEL LOUIS JR.$25K · $10K COH
  • DDUES, JUSTIN
  • RDUPRE, MARGOT
  • DFARROW, DARYL
  • DHAMMOND, ALYSSIA ROSE-KATHERINE
  • OJOHNSON, CONSTANCE "CONNIE"
  • RJOHNSON, THOMAS LEE$7K · $0 COH
  • RKEENER, LOGAN BENJAMIN DR
  • GMCGINNIS, BRIAN$68K · $-13363 COH
  • RMORROW, MICHELE$13K · $-187 COH
  • DNICKEL, WILEY$589K · $0 COH
  • RNILSSON, ROBERT ANDERS MR
  • DQUICK, ORRICK ROMAINE
  • RSIBHATU, LICHIA WOLDEGABREAL
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTEMPLE, ELIZABETH A.
  • DWILLIAMS, MARCUS W.$6K · $0 COH
  • RDon Brown$225K · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
New Hampshire U.S. Senate

Democrat Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open seat, with U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas the strong favorite for the Democratic nomination in the Sept. 8 primary. The Republican primary pits former Senators John E. Sununu (polling ahead and backed by Senate leadership) against Scott Brown (endorsed by Trump); forecasters lean the seat Democratic.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 8 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
Texas U.S. Senate

Four-term Republican incumbent John Cornyn was denied renomination, losing a May 26 runoff to Trump-endorsed Attorney General Ken Paxton (63.8%) after a bruising primary that also included U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt. State Rep. James Talarico won the Democratic primary outright (about 53%) over U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett; the Paxton nomination gives Democrats an opening, but forecasters lean the seat Republican.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RKen Paxton$9.2M · $1.8M COHwon · 63.8%
  • DJames Talarico$69M · $22M COHwon · 53%
  • RADEFOPE, JOHN
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COH
  • DALLRED, COLIN$7.6M · $708 COH
  • RALVAREZ, ANDREW
  • RBENDER, ANNA
  • RBIERSCHWALE, VIRGIL$10K · $383 COH
  • CBROWN GAINES, JENNIFER TAWANDA DR. @ LAW DISTRICT 3
  • LBROWN, THEODORE E. JR.$7K · $1K COH
  • ICAIN, JOSHUA
  • RCANADY, SARA LARUE$770 · $-430 COH
  • RDUNCAN, ALEXANDER
  • IEVANS, RONALD JR
  • NFORD, CAMENCIA
  • WHALL, BRADFORD WINSTON
  • DHASSAN, AHMAD
  • UHUSE, RODGER
  • RKHAN, GULREZ$11K · $-646 COH
  • RMANN, RENNIE HILL
  • RMCNABB, BARRETT ANTHONY
  • DMORGUL, EMILY
  • RSCHMOKER, TONY$3K · $0 COH
  • ISIMMONS, JADE$9K · $956 COH
  • LSIMS, DANIEL M$12K · $200 COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSWANSON, MICHAEL$7K · $0 COH
  • RTRAKAS, ANDREW KYLE
  • NTRUELSON, HANS
  • DVIRTS, TERRY$665K · $3K COH
  • DWILLIAMS, PAULA STEPHEN MS
  • RWYATT, DOC LEO DR
  • DJasmine Crockett$11M · $0 COHlost · 45%
  • RJohn Cornyn· inc$8.6M · $542K COHlost
  • RWesley Hunt$2.1M · $29K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Minnesota U.S. Senate

DFL Senator Tina Smith's retirement created Minnesota's first open Senate seat since 2006, and the Aug. 11 DFL primary is a marquee contest between Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (party-endorsed) and U.S. Rep. Angie Craig. Republicans including Royce White, Adam Schwarze and Michele Tafoya are competing for the nomination in a state Democrats have long held; forecasters rate it Likely D.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Senate — the rest of the map

Kansas U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Roger Marshall seeks a second term in a safely Republican state; a crowded Democratic primary remains unsettled.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RRoger Marshall· inc$4.0M · $5.4M COHwon
  • DAdam Hamilton$4.2M · $1.7M COHwon
  • DDAVIS, CHRISTY$194K · $86K COH
  • DHART, JASON$51K · $547 COH
  • RLAPORTE, CHASE
  • DLATZ, KEVIN$40K · $75K COH
  • DMURRAY, ERIK$213K · $12K COH
  • DPARELKAR, LOIS ANNE ELIZABETH LEA$33K · $3K COH
  • DSOETAERT, MICHAEL
  • DSPIDEL NEUMANN, SANDY$411K · $161K COH
  • DTAYLOR, NOAH$162K · $13K COH
  • DPatrick Schmidt$256K · $5K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Nebraska U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Pete Ricketts, seeking his first full term after winning a 2024 special election, won his primary with about 82%. The competitive dynamic is independent Dan Osborn, who qualified for the ballot by petition and polls close to Ricketts; Democratic primary winner Cindy Burbank has pledged to drop out to consolidate support behind Osborn. Rated Likely R.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • RPete Ricketts· inc$11M · $6.9M COHwon · 81.5%
  • IDan Osborn$5.8M · $2.4M COH
  • RAXTELL SCHULTZ, DEBRA LEANNE MS
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • RDUNN, EDWARD MR.
  • OMARVIN, MIKE$28K · $3K COH
  • RSASSE, BENJAMIN E.$30K · $2.3M COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RSTEVENS, MAC
  • DCindy Burbank$40K · $21K COHwithdrew · 89.5%
  • DWilliam Forbes$1K · $0 COHlost · 10.5%
Race & money →Source ↗
Alabama U.S. Senate

Open seat as GOP Sen. Tommy Tuberville runs for governor; Rep. Barry Moore won the June 16 Republican runoff to face Democrat Everett Wess.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RBarry Moore$3.8M · $628K COH
  • DEverett Wess$83K · $-10011 COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBarry Moore$3.8M · $628K COHwon · 55.8%
  • DEverett Wess$83K · $-10011 COHwon · 54.6%
  • RTUBERVILLE, THOMAS H· inc$726K · $67K COH
  • RBURTON, MATTHEW SETH$74K · $0 COH
  • RCOLBERT, MICHAEL
  • DGLASGOW, VALMA K$294 · $100 COH
  • DHOWARD, JAMES GREGORY MR JR
  • DLAVENDER, LAMONT
  • RMURPHY, MORGAN W. W.$1.3M · $105K COH
  • DSWEETSER, KYLE$166K · $3K COH
  • RWALKER, RODNEY$2.0M · $0 COH
  • DWHEELER, MARK SHANNON MR II$17K · $566 COH
  • DDakarai Larriett$154K · $2K COHlost
  • RJared Hudson$1.9M · $114K COHlost
  • RSteve Marshall$1.3M · $0 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Arkansas U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Tom Cotton easily won renomination for a third term; Democrat Hallie Shoffner won her primary in a state Democrats have not carried for Senate since 2008.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTom Cotton· inc$6.2M · $9.9M COHwon · 81.64%
  • DHallie Shoffner$2.3M · $864K COHwon · 78.27%
  • RASHBY, MICAH$41K · $754 COH
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • RLITTLE, JEB$93K · $127 COH
  • DPITTMAN, JONATHAN
  • DRUSSELL, JAMES RICHARD MR III$3K · $0 COH
  • LWADLIN, JEFFREY FRANCIS$29K · $8K COH
  • DWHITFIELD, DANIEL ALLEN$353 · $2K COH
  • DEthan Dunbar$17K · $1K COHlost · 21.73%
Race & money →Source ↗
Colorado U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent John Hickenlooper won a contested primary for a second term and faces Republican state senator Mark Baisley.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • DJohn Hickenlooper· inc$8.1M · $2.1M COHwon · 52.8%
  • RMark Baisley$138K · $50K COHwon
  • DBRESLIN, KAREN$165K · $2K COH
  • RCALDERON, AMANDA J JILLIAN MRS
  • OCHEW, BOB$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • FCHEW, ROBERT$1.3M · $1.0M COH
  • IDALE, CLINTON ROOSEVELT
  • DHASLEY, BRASHAD D$20K · $0 COH
  • RJONES, DATHAN CHARLES$25 · $45 COH
  • RJOSHI, JANAK$486K · $0 COH
  • IKUEBLER, JOSHUA WILLIAM
  • RMARKERT, GEORGE WASHINGTON MR V$315K · $0 COH
  • DMINER, NICHOLE
  • CPOND, SEAN M.$31K · $0 COH
  • DSCANLON, MICHAEL
  • DWILLIAMS, JESSICA
  • UWITHROW, ADAM
  • IWOOD, MATTHEW$5K · $753 COH
  • DZIMPFER, ANTHONY JACOB$4K · $0 COH
  • DJulie Gonzales$979K · $144K COHlost · 47.2%
Race & money →Source ↗
Delaware U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Chris Coons seeks a third full term in a safely Democratic state; primaries are not until September.

Safe D
General · Nov 3

Nominees set at the Sep 15 primary.

Primary · Sep 15 · upcoming›
  • DChris Coons· inc$3.9M · $4.7M COH
  • DBEARDSLEY, CHRISTOPHER MR.$22K · $9K COH
  • IBLAND, DEXTER
  • RCOPPOLA, ALEC
  • RJohn Shulli$105K · $46K COH
  • DLOUVE, MARY
  • RMichael Katz$70K · $38K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSTEVENS, TRAVIS
Race & money →Source ↗
Florida U.S. Senate (Special)

Special election for the final two years of Marco Rubio's term (he resigned to become Secretary of State); appointed GOP Sen. Ashley Moody faces a Democratic primary featuring Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • DAngie Nixon
  • RAshley Moody· inc
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DAngie Nixonwon · 56.1%
  • RAshley Moody· incwon
  • DAlex Vindmanlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Idaho U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Jim Risch won renomination for a fourth term; Democrat David Roth advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1974.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RJim Risch· inc$3.4M · $3.5M COH
  • DDavid Roth$15K · $279 COH
  • ITodd Achilles$692K · $194K COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RJim Risch· inc$3.4M · $3.5M COHwon · 67.3%
  • DDavid Roth$15K · $279 COHwon · 61.9%
  • ITodd Achilles$692K · $194K COH
  • DBONDS, NICKOLAS
  • REVANS, JOE$8K · $91 COH
  • UFLEMING, NATALIE M
  • RLAVE, DENNY$171K · $0 COH
  • RROY, JOSHUA S$57K · $4K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Illinois U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Dick Durbin retiring; Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton won a competitive Democratic primary over Reps. Krishnamoorthi and Kelly, and faces Republican Don Tracy.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
  • DJuliana Stratton$5.9M · $1.1M COH
  • RDon Tracy$2.5M · $1.5M COH
Primary · Mar 17 · results›
  • DJuliana Stratton$5.9M · $1.1M COHwon · 40.4%
  • RDon Tracy$2.5M · $1.5M COHwon · 40%
  • DDURBIN, RICHARD J.· inc$80K · $1.0M COH
  • RBARTZIS, PANAGIOTI JOHN MR
  • RBENNETT, DOUGLAS$1K · $2K COH
  • DBOTSFORD, STEVE$373K · $100 COH
  • DBUSTOS, AWISI$42K · $0 COH
  • RCAPPARELLI, R CARY$13K · $829 COH
  • RCHLEBEK, CASIMER MR.$202K · $27 COH
  • DDEAN, JONATHAN$124K · $13K COH
  • DDELGADO, ADAM$59K · $3K COH
  • RGOODMAN, JOHN$29K · $6K COH
  • IHARRINGTON, WHITFIELD MR JR$101K · $4K COH
  • RJONES, LLOYD
  • DLEAVELL, STANLEY MR.
  • RLONG, PAMELA$25K · $2K COH
  • DMAXWELL, BRYAN$22K · $1K COH
  • IMINK, AUSTIN JAMES
  • IMUHAMMAD, TYRONE
  • RORTEGA, JANUARIO MR.
  • DPALMER, ROBERT A MR
  • DRODRIQUEZ, ADAIR$236 · $0 COH
  • DRYAN, KEVIN$139K · $-10051 COH
  • OSCHILLING, JOSEPH DAVID
  • ISCHWARTZBERG, STEVEN J$6K · $6K COH
  • DSHEPHERD, JUMP WESLEY$4K · $-7594 COH
  • ISMITH, ANTHONY J MR
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • DSWANN, CHRISTOPHER ALEXANDER$18K · $-409 COH
  • RTILLMAN, JIMMY LEE II
  • RJeannie Evans$1.3M · $3K COHlost
  • DRaja Krishnamoorthi$32M · $75K COHlost
  • DRobin Kelly$3.5M · $30K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Kentucky U.S. Senate

Open seat with Sen. Mitch McConnell retiring; Trump-backed Rep. Andy Barr won the GOP primary and faces Democrat Charles Booker.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RAndy Barr$10.0M · $2.3M COH
  • DCharles Booker$1.1M · $310K COH
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RAndy Barr$10.0M · $2.3M COHwon · 60.5%
  • DCharles Booker$1.1M · $310K COHwon · 47%
  • RMCCONNELL, MITCH· inc$217K · $7.3M COH
  • OCAMPBELL, CHRISTOPHER TODD
  • RCATLETT, ANISSA
  • RDUNCAN, JAMES D
  • IDUNCAN, SCOTT MICHEAL
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL$62K · $-16841 COH
  • RFARIS, MICHAEL JAMES$62K · $-16841 COH
  • DFORSYTHE, LOGAN$47K · $3K COH
  • RKENNEDY, WENDE CAROL MS
  • DRANDALL, JARED
  • DROMANS, DALE$838K · $167K COH
  • RSHELLEY, *ANDREW NICHOLAS
  • DTHOMPSON, VINCENT ANTHONY
  • RTRIMBLE, JACOB DANIEL
  • RWENZEL, DONALD RAY$3K · $0 COH
  • DWILLETT, JOEL$350K · $29K COH
  • DAmy McGrath$2.4M · $3K COHlost
  • RDaniel Cameron$2.3M · $8K COHlost
  • RNate Morris$8.6M · $383K COHlost
  • DPamela Stevenson$311K · $-13505 COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Louisiana U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Bill Cassidy was denied renomination under Louisiana's new partisan-primary system; Rep. Julia Letlow won the June 27 runoff and faces Democrat Jamie Davis.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • DJamie Davis$2.0M · $479K COH
  • RJulia Letlow$6.2M · $1.4M COH
Primary · May 16 · results›
  • DJamie Davis$2.0M · $479K COHwon · 79.9%
  • RJulia Letlow$6.2M · $1.4M COHwon · 56.9%
  • DALBARES, NICHOLAS S.$143K · $0 COH
  • RARRINGTON, RANDALL STEVEN PHD
  • DBURKE, TRACIE
  • RCOTTONHAM, MARKEDA ANN
  • DCROCKETT, GARY$350K · $271K COH
  • RDENDY, TRACY COLLENE
  • REMERSON, JULIE CATHRYN$689K · $28K COH
  • RHOLDER, CHRISTOPHER LEE MR.
  • RJOHN, XAN MR.
  • WLABRANCHE, JAMIE
  • RMIGUEZ, BLAKE$6.6M · $2.0M COH
  • RMOROTT, JOSHUA
  • RSEIDEN, KATHY W$1.2M · $0 COH
  • RSKRMETTA, ERIC$68K · $5K COH
  • RSPENCER, MARK$5K · $55 COH
  • DWALKER, JABARIE
  • RWYATT, SAMUEL LEE MR.$299K · $3K COH
  • RJohn Fleming$12M · $40K COHlost · 28.3%
  • RBill Cassidy· inc$7.0M · $4.8M COHlost · 24.8%
Race & money →Source ↗
Massachusetts U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third full term and faces a September primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton; Republican John Deaton is the presumptive GOP nominee.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 1 · results›
  • DEd Markey· inc$5.4M · $1.3M COHwon
  • RJohn Deaton$1.6M · $712K COHwon
  • IAYYADURAI, SHIVA DR$285K · $131K COH
  • RBECH, NATHAN ALEXANDER$80K · $29K COH
  • IDAWICKI, MORGAN GIFFORD$16K · $4K COH
  • DGATES, WILLIAM FRANCIS MR.
  • DRIKLEEN, ALEXANDER$79K · $2K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • OTACHE, JOSEPH$270K · $93K COH
  • DSeth Moulton$6.2M · $1.8M COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
Mississippi U.S. Senate

GOP incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith won renomination; Democrat Scott Colom advanced in a state Democrats have not won for Senate since 1982.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 10 · results›
  • RCindy Hyde-Smith· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 80.8%
  • DScott Colom$2.4M · $847K COHwon · 72.9%
  • DLITTELL, ALBERT R
  • IPINKINS, TY$98K · $5K COH
  • RSMITH, ANDREW SCOTT
  • DTILL, PRISCILLA WILLIAMS$9K · $0 COH
  • RSarah Adlakha$566K · $10K COHlost · 19.2%
Race & money →Source ↗
Montana U.S. Senate

Open seat after GOP Sen. Steve Daines withdrew before the filing deadline; former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme won the GOP primary, with Democrat Alani Bankhead and Tester-backed independent Seth Bodnar also on the ballot.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RKurt Alme$2.0M · $1.5M COH
  • LKyle Austin$251K · $9K COH
  • DAlani Bankhead$59K · $21K COH
  • ISeth Bodnar$3.2M · $978K COH
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RKurt Alme$2.0M · $1.5M COHwon · 76.1%
  • LKyle Austin$251K · $9K COHwon · 53.2%
  • DAlani Bankhead$59K · $21K COHwon · 43.6%
  • ISeth Bodnar$3.2M · $978K COH
  • RDAINES, STEVE· inc$4.7M · $2.6M COH
  • DBLACKWOLF, MICHAEL JAMES MR.$26K · $528 COH
  • RCALHOUN, LEE$8K · $0 COH
  • DHUMMERT, MICHAEL$12K · $9K COH
  • LJANDRON, TOM
  • DKEHOE, CHRISTOPHER$1K · $920 COH
  • DMCLAUGHLIN, KATE
  • DNEILL, REILLY$295K · $24K COH
  • RWALKINGCHILD, CHARLES SR
Race & money →Source ↗
New Jersey U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Cory Booker, who ran unopposed in his primary, is strongly favored to win a third full term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy in this heavily Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DCory Booker· inc$19M · $23M COHwon · 100%
  • RJustin Murphy$27K · $123 COHwon · 33.3%
  • DCALLAHAN, SAXON
  • ICARDUCCI, NICHOLAS MATTHEW
  • IESTRADA, MICHAEL
  • IFERNANDEZ, VERONICA
  • DFIELDS, CHRIS
  • RLEBOVICS, ROBERT$178K · $10K COH
  • IMALDONADO, JUSTIN JUAN
  • DMCCORMICK, LISA
  • AMISSERI, MICHAEL
  • IRIVERA, NATALIE
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RTABOR, RICHARD JEROME SR$27K · $0 COH
  • DTOMAINI, GREGORY RICHARD COLONEL
  • RZDAN, ALEX$48K · $5K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
New Mexico U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Ben Ray Lujan won his primary with 84.2% and is heavily favored for reelection against Republican write-in nominee Larry Marker in this reliably Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DBen Ray Lujan· inc$5.6M · $4.4M COHwon · 84.2%
  • RLarry Marker$34K · $12K COHadvanced · 100%
  • ICARRARO, JOSEPH JOHN
  • RCHANNON, MATT
  • ICHICK, CAMERON ALTON MR. SR.
  • DDODSON, MATT$33K · $183 COH
  • RL, BEN R JR.
  • IOCONNELL, MELISSA MIRA
  • JSMITH, TOBY MR.
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗
Oklahoma U.S. Senate

After Markwayne Mullin resigned to join the Cabinet, U.S. Rep. Kevin Hern won the Republican primary with 69.8% and is heavily favored, while Democrats Jasmine Thomas and Jim Priest head to an August 25 runoff.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RKevin Hern$10.0M · $2.5M COH
  • DJasmine Thomas$57K · $456 COH
Primary · Jun 16 · results›
  • RKevin Hern$10.0M · $2.5M COHwon · 69.8%
  • DJasmine Thomas$57K · $456 COHwon · 45.2%
  • RMULLIN, MARKWAYNE· inc$3.2M · $1.4M COH
  • DBECK, WILLIAM EVAN SCOTT
  • RBUCKNER, WILLIAM SEAN
  • DCASSITY, R.O.
  • RENGLAND, GARY TY MR.$19K · $4K COH
  • DGREEN, TROY WESLEY$33K · $9K COH
  • RHANKINS, NICKY JOE$3K · $0 COH
  • RINHOFE, JAMES M. SEN.
  • DLAVANN, REBEKAH JEQETTA
  • IMEINHARDT, RON$9K · $162 COH
  • RRAGAIN, BRIAN MATTHEW$27K · $7K COH
  • RSWEARENGIN, TAMMY
  • RWASHINGTON, WAYNE LONNY DR.
  • DYEN, ERVIN STONE DR$21K · $0 COH
  • DJim Priest$370K · $56K COHlost · 23.9%
Race & money →Source ↗
Oregon U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley won his primary with 93.2% and is heavily favored to win a fourth term against Republican state senator David Brock Smith in this reliably blue state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • DJeff Merkley· inc$4.5M · $6.8M COHwon · 93.2%
  • RDavid Brock Smith$121K · $29K COHwon · 29.5%
  • RMCALMOND, RUSSELL
  • RPERKINS, JO RAE$11K · $153 COH
  • DRYAN, JACOB
  • RSKELTON, TIMOTHY WILLIAM
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗
Rhode Island U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Jack Reed is heavily favored to win a sixth term, leading primary challenger Connor Burbridge and expected Republican nominee Raymond McKay in this reliably Democratic state.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 9 · results›
  • DJack Reed· inc$3.4M · $3.1M COHwon
  • RRaymond McKay$180K · $8K COHwon
  • IBAHRY, MICHAEL$5K · $2K COH
  • ILINDLEY, JON
  • DMUNOZ, LUIS DANIEL DR
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RWATERS, ALLEN
  • DConnor Burbridge$25K · $4K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
South Carolina U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Lindsey Graham won his primary with 56.8% and is favored to win a fifth term against Democratic pediatrician Annie Andrews in this reliably Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • DAnnie Andrews
  • RDarline Graham· inc
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DAnnie Andrewswon · 61.5%
  • RDarline Graham· incwon · 56.8%
  • RGRAHAM, LINDSEY O.· inc$6.8M · $2.3M COH
  • RBAUER, ANDRE$216K · $0 COH
  • LBRENKUS, JASON ELLIOT
  • DBROWN, BRANDON$86K · $0 COH
  • DBRUCE, CATHERINE FLEMING MS.
  • RCOWEN, CALVIN$13K · $2K COH
  • RDANS, PAUL$1.1M · $122K COH
  • RDISMUKES, THOMAS KEITH$25K · $10 COH
  • NELLISON, JACK
  • DFREEMAN, KYLE ODONNELL$44K · $2K COH
  • DGIRACELLO, CHRISTOPHER
  • IGLASER, CINDY E
  • RHERRMANN, PATRICK JOSEPH$17K · $10 COH
  • RHOLLIMAN, ETHAN CLAY
  • DJOHNSON, LEE$569K · $0 COH
  • ILOUIS, DONAVAN ARTHUR MR$3K · $0 COH
  • RLYNCH, MARK$5.9M · $547K COH
  • RMITCHELL, DARIUS L.
  • ISEDLETSKY, PAUL
  • ISTRUNGE, EDWARD IV
  • LWHITENER, KASIE DR.$17K · $3K COH
  • IWRIGHT-MCDONALD, REECE
Race & money →Source ↗
South Dakota U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Mike Rounds won his primary with 75.8% and is heavily favored to win a third term against Democrat Julian Beaudion and independent Brian Bengs.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RMike Rounds· inc$3.2M · $2.7M COHwon · 75.8%
  • IBrian Bengs$782K · $51K COH
  • RMCNEAL, JUSTIN S$11K · $1 COH
  • DJulian Beaudion$228K · $3K COHwithdrew
Race & money →Source ↗
Tennessee U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty, the presumptive GOP nominee, is heavily favored to win a second term, with 2020 nominee Marquita Bradshaw leading the Democratic field in this reliably Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 6 · results›
  • RBill Hagerty· inc$7.2M · $5.2M COHwon
  • DMarquita Bradshaw$2K · $1K COHwon
  • DBREWER, MARIA A$9K · $5K COH
  • UCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • ICHANDLER, THARON
  • IJONES, ROBERT THOMAS
  • IMATTHEWS, YOSHI D.
  • DMCCANTS, KEVIN LEE MR.
  • DMILLER-WATKINS, CIVIL$6K · $3K COH
  • FMIXON, ANDREW WOODRUFF MR
  • DONYEJIAKA, DIANA
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • ISUTMAN, DAVID JR$9K · $500 COH
  • IWHITSON, CATHERINE BARCEL MS BARCY
Race & money →Source ↗
Virginia U.S. Senate

Democratic incumbent Mark Warner is the presumptive nominee seeking a fourth term and is favored in this Democratic-leaning state, with no major Republican challenger yet named ahead of the August primary.

Safe D
General · Nov 3
  • DMark Warner· inc
  • RBert Mizusawa
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • DMark Warner· incwon
  • RBert Mizusawawon
  • DWARNER, MARK ROBERT· inc$18M · $16M COH
  • DBROWN, PAMELA MS.
  • NCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • DDANIELS, LORITA DR.$57K · $7K COH
  • RDE PAULA, ALEX$6K · $2K COH
  • DEICHELBERGER, GREGORY$6K · $0 COH
  • RFARINGTON, KIM$145K · $16K COH
  • RMINA, ALDOUS D
  • RMIZUSAWA, BERT K$419K · $90K COH
  • IMORAN, MARK
  • RREEVES, BRYCE$106K · $0 COH
  • DREYNOLDS, JASON STEPHEN
  • RSMITH, C.L. CHUCK JR$46K · $546 COH
  • RWILLIAMS, DAVID EARL MR.$97K · $7K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
West Virginia U.S. Senate

Republican incumbent Shelley Moore Capito won her primary with 66.5% and is heavily favored to win reelection against Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson in this deeply Republican state.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RShelley Moore Capito· inc
  • DRachel Fetty Anderson
Primary · May 12 · results›
  • RShelley Moore Capito· incwon · 66.5%
  • DRachel Fetty Andersonwon · 33.2%
  • VCARLSON, OWEN NICHOLAS
  • REVANS, JONATHAN DERRICK$1.2M · $93K COH
  • DFETTY ANDERSON, RACHEL LEE$50K · $22K COH
  • RGAASERUD, ALEXANDER$3K · $1K COH
  • DKESSLER, JEFFREY VINCENT
  • RMCKINNEY, BRYAN
  • RMCNULTY, JANET$7K · $0 COH
  • IPHILLIPS, RIO$14K · $152 COH
  • DSHREWSBURY, ZACHARY C$516K · $-2854 COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
  • RWILLIS, THOMAS EDWARD II$642K · $0 COH
  • CWILSON, S. MARSHALL$2K · $499 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
Wyoming U.S. Senate

With Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis retiring, Trump- and Lummis-endorsed U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman is the heavy favorite for this open seat in deeply Republican Wyoming, with Democrat James Byrd also running.

Safe R
General · Nov 3
  • RHarriet Hageman
  • DJames Byrd
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RHarriet Hagemanwon
  • DJames Byrdwon
  • RLUMMIS, CYNTHIA MARIE MRS.· inc$1.5M · $835K COH
  • DBYRD, JAMES WILLARD MR.$23K · $356 COH
  • RHOLTZ, JOHN
  • RMEAD, SAMUEL$289K · $111K COH
  • RRASNER, REID$2.0M · $81K COH
  • RSKOVGARD, JIMMY MR$10K · $3K COH
  • RSOLOMON, GAVIN
Race & money →Source ↗

Competitive House

47 districts

Alabama

AL-02 U.S. House

Democratic freshman Shomari Figures faces a difficult new GOP-drawn map after Alabama's mid-2026 redistricting; a special Aug. 11 primary will pick his Republican challenger in a seat rated likely to flip.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Arizona

AZ-01 U.S. House

Open seat after five-term GOP Rep. David Schweikert left to run for governor, flipping this Phoenix-area district to a toss-up; a crowded July 21 primary features Democrats Amish Shah and Marlene Galan-Woods and Republicans led by ex-state Rep. Joseph Chaplik.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jul 21 · results›
  • DAmish Shah$1.8M · $402K COHwon
  • RJay Feely$2.5M · $794K COHwon
  • RSCHWEIKERT, DAVID S.· inc$1.7M · $17K COH
  • IAJLUNI, CHRISTOPHER$4K · $0 COH
  • LALPONTE, MONICA MARIA$9K · $634 COH
  • DBARRAZA, ANDRES ADAN
  • DDEL VECCHIO, BRIAN A$15K · $0 COH
  • DDONNELLY, BRANDON
  • RDUEY, JASON S.
  • RGALLEGO, DERRICK
  • DGORDON, MARK ROBERT$299K · $62K COH
  • DLUCIO, DANIEL LEE$3K · $1K COH
  • DMONTOYA, ANGIE$4K · $628 COH
  • RPURRINGTON, KAITLIN
  • RREEVS, PAUL C$111K · $0 COH
  • RSOWERS, BRANDON$18K · $0 COH
  • RSWOBODA, GINA$222K · $0 COH
  • DWEINTRAUB, VICTOR H. MR.
  • RJohn Trobough$1.2M · $85K COHlost
  • DJonathan Treble$4.0M · $659K COHlost
  • RJoseph Chaplik$605K · $130K COHlost
  • DMarlene Galan-Woods$2.2M · $539K COHlost
  • DRick McCartney$1.3M · $252K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
AZ-06 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Juan Ciscomani defends one of the nation's premier swing seats in the Tucson-area 6th; Democrat JoAnna Mendoza is the party's leading challenger heading into the uncontested July 21 primary after rivals dropped out.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jul 21 · results›
  • RJuan Ciscomani· inc$6.2M · $4.1M COHwon
  • DJoAnna Mendoza$7.4M · $3.3M COHwon
  • ABAH, IMAN$195 · $225 COH
  • IDICKERSON, TREVOR$19K · $6K COH
  • DDONAT, CHRIS$21K · $0 COH
  • DGOLDMAN, MO
  • LPETERS, JEREME LANCE$11K · $0 COH
  • DSEVERSON, SAMANTHA
  • DSWALLOW, AIDEN NICHOLETTE
  • GSWING, GARY
  • DWEEKS, CARTER JORDAN
  • DJohnathan Bumawithdrew
Race & money →Source ↗

California

CA-13 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Adam Gray, boosted by California's Prop 50 remap, and Republican Kevin Lincoln advanced from the top-two primary in this Central Valley swing seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • DAdam Gray· inc$4.2M · $2.1M COHadvanced
  • RKevin Lincoln$2.2M · $838K COHadvanced
  • NESCOBEDO, ALBERTO
  • DGARIBAY RODRIGUEZ, DANIEL
  • RKRUTTIVENTI, VIN$3.7M · $6K COH
  • RLOPEZ, JAVIER B$146K · $619 COH
  • DSIGALA, ANGELINA
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-22 U.S. House

In this heavily Latino, Democratic-leaning Central Valley district, GOP Rep. David Valadao (40.7%) and Democrat Randy Villegas (32.2%) advanced from the June 2 top-two primary; Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains finished third (27.2%). A perennial toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-45 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Derek Tran led the top-two primary (about 53%) with Republican Chuong Vo advancing second in this Orange County/Little Saigon seat.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
CA-48 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Darrell Issa retiring) made competitive by Prop 50; Democrat Marni von Wilpert and Republican Jim Desmond advanced from the top-two primary.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJim Desmond$2.3M · $1.2M COHadvanced
  • DMarni von Wilpert$2.2M · $825K COHadvanced
  • RISSA, DARRELL· inc$2.1M · $2.7M COH
  • IBUCY, MICHAEL WILLIAM
  • DCAMPA-NAJJAR, AMMAR$5K · $0 COH
  • DCHAVEZ, ABEL$473K · $11K COH
  • DCLEMONS, STEPHEN
  • DCONTRERAS, CORINNA$36K · $0 COH
  • DDAVIS, NICHOLAS
  • DDIXIT, ANUJ$466K · $168K COH
  • RGAUTEREAUX, CORY
  • DIANNARINO, MARC$45K · $0 COH
  • UMORA, ALBERT JAMES
  • DMORRISON, CURTIS$36K · $0 COH
  • DNASH, BRIAN L
  • DPORTER, FERGUSON$62K · $22K COH
  • NREYNA, LUIS FERNANDO
  • DRIKER, BRANDON$2.3M · $21K COH
  • DSCHAEFER, MIKE
  • DSCHULTZ, JOHN THOMAS MR.
  • DSHANAHAN, WHITNEY$4K · $1K COH
  • DSHAW, ERIC
  • DTILL, SUZANNE MARIE DR.$7K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗

Colorado

CO-08 U.S. House

Colorado's marquee toss-up in the Denver-area 8th: GOP freshman Rep. Gabe Evans (unopposed) faces Democrat Manny Rutinel, who won the June 30 primary with 60.9% over state Rep. Shannon Bird (34.3%).

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 30 · results›
  • RGabe Evans· inc$5.4M · $3.9M COHwon · 100%
  • DManny Rutinel$4.3M · $601K COHwon · 60.9%
  • DBACA-OEHLERT, AMIE$135K · $14K COH
  • DCARAVEO, YADIRA$259K · $0 COH
  • RDERITO, ADAM$29K · $3K COH
  • DHASSLER, DANIEL SHANE MR$6K · $0 COH
  • DJOHNSON, LARRY
  • DMUNSING, EVAN$623K · $5K COH
  • DSZEMLER, JOHN FRANCIS
  • DYOUNG, DAVID L.$197K · $15K COH
  • DShannon Bird$2.3M · $230K COHlost · 34.3%
Race & money →Source ↗

Florida

FL-09 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Darren Soto's Orlando-area seat was made more Republican by DeSantis's 2026 remap; the Aug. 18 GOP primary will set his challenger.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RDan Green$1.3M · $363K COHwon · 25.4%
  • DDarren Soto· inc$2.2M · $1.2M COHwon
  • RCARTER, GREGORY MARCUS MR$23K · $1K COH
  • RCHALIFOUX, THOMAS E. COLONEL JR.$3.1M · $2.0M COH
  • NFARBER, STUART DR
  • RMALAVET, JORGE ANTONIO$28K · $39 COH
  • RMARTINEZ, JORGE$855K · $290K COH
  • RRANCE, HOWARD STEVEN$153K · $8K COH
  • RSTORY, JUSTIN$93K · $37K COH
  • RBen Butler$387K · $112K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-13 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Anna Paulina Luna defends her Tampa Bay/Pinellas seat against Democrat Leela Gray, a retired Army brigadier general.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • RAnna Paulina Luna· incwon
  • DLeela Gray$1.2M · $683K COHwon
  • DAGUERJOUT, FATIMA EZAHRA
  • ID'ARRIGO, TONY C$28K · $26K COH
  • DFAY, JOHN T$4K · $-266 COH
  • DFORD, EARLE$569K · $16K COH
  • DKEMP, KARLA$11K · $2K COH
  • DLEFF, SUSAN ROCHELLE
  • DLICCIONE, JOHN WILLIAM$15K · $426 COH
  • RLIONHEART, AMARO
  • DMOORE, JEFFREY
  • ROFFUTT, COURTNEY MS
  • DPAROS, REGINALD$16K · $0 COH
  • DROBINSON, TIMOTHY BRANDT MR$106K · $8K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-14 U.S. House

The DeSantis remap shifted Democratic Rep. Kathy Castor's Tampa seat rightward, drawing a crowded Aug. 18 GOP primary to try to flip it.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DKathy Castor· inc$2.3M · $1.7M COHwon
  • RMike Beltran$2.1M · $1.9M COHwon
  • DARAUZ, JUAN
  • WHERNANDEZ, SALOMON
  • LLAMBERT, BRIAN KEITH$11K · $100 COH
  • RMARCEL, MICHAEL$19K · $4K COH
  • RMISHIYEV, ERIK MAGA
  • RPETERS, JOHN$203K · $0 COH
  • RROCHFORD, ROBERT ANTHONY ROCKY CAPT$267K · $105K COH
  • RSORIANO, GAVRIEL ELIYAHU$2K · $25 COH
  • RTEK, ERGIN AKA BATMAN$42K · $1K COH
  • RVALENTI, BEA$220K · $104K COH
  • RWELDON, DANIEL$120K · $32K COH
  • RWICK, JOHN CHARLES$7K · $0 COH
  • RWILLIAMS, SHAY$23K · $0 COH
  • RKevin Steelelost
Race & money →Source ↗
FL-27 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar defends her Miami seat; a crowded Aug. 18 Democratic primary (Robin Peguero, Eliott Rodriguez, Mike Davey) will pick her challenger.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 18 · results›
  • DEliott Rodriguez$661K · $325K COHwon · 54%
  • RMaria Elvira Salazar· inc$2.0M · $2.3M COHwon
  • RARIAS, VINCENT MICHAEL$184K · $72K COH
  • DFORNINO, ALEXANDER$25K · $-719 COH
  • DLAMONDIN, RICHARD$744K · $0 COH
  • DMike Davey$45K · $13K COHlost
  • DRobin Peguerolost
Race & money →Source ↗

Iowa

IA-1 U.S. House

A third straight Miller-Meeks vs. Bohannan rematch after the nation's closest 2024 House race (~800 votes). Both won contested June 2 primaries; Cook rates the southeastern-Iowa seat a pure toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
IA-02 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson running for Senate); Republican Joe Mitchell and Democrat Lindsay James won their June 2 primaries.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
  • RJoe Mitchell$1.9M · $896K COHwon
  • DLindsay James$1.6M · $756K COHwon
  • RARENHOLZ, ASHLEY HINSON· inc$10M · $6.7M COH
  • RBLUM, RODNEY$250K · $247K COH
  • IBUSHAW, DAVE$26K · $12K COH
  • DDOLTER, KATHRYN J$75K · $415 COH
  • RLUNDGREN, SHANNON$92K · $0 COH
  • RMCCLINTOCK, CHARLIE$18K · $13K COH
  • DMORGAN, GUY$5K · $2K COH
  • DPRIMUS, DONALD K.
  • DTECHAU, KEVIN W$147K · $0 COH
  • DTWEDT-BALL, CLINTON GENE$585K · $11K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
IA-3 U.S. House

Two-term GOP Rep. Zach Nunn (re-elected 51.8% in 2024) faces Democratic state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott in this Des Moines-based district. Both ran unopposed in the June 2 primary; Cook rates the seat a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Maine

ME-02 U.S. House

Open seat (Democrat Jared Golden retiring); Democrat Matt Dunlap won the June primary and faces Republican former Gov. Paul LePage.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Michigan

MI-04 U.S. House

GOP Rep. Bill Huizenga seeks reelection in a Grand Rapids-area seat trending Democratic; state Sen. Sean McCann is the leading Democrat ahead of the Aug. 4 primary.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RBill Huizenga· inc$4.1M · $2.3M COHwon
  • DSean McCann$2.6M · $1.7M COHwon
  • DAARON, RICHARD
  • DHARRIS, DIOP JERMAINE MR II$142K · $7K COH
  • UJOHNSON, AUSTIN
  • DSWARTZ, JESSICA$342K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
MI-7 U.S. House

Freshman GOP Rep. Tom Barrett defends an even-PVI Lansing-area seat he flipped in 2024. Democrats hold a competitive Aug. 4 primary led by former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, with Matt Maasdam and Sunrise co-founder William Lawrence also running; Cook rates it a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
MI-10 U.S. House

Open Macomb County seat after GOP Rep. John James left to run for governor, with contested Aug. 4 primaries on both sides (R front-runner: Trump-endorsed Mike Bouchard; D: former Pontiac mayor Tim Greimel and prosecutor Christina Hines). Cook rates it Lean R; Sabato calls it a toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Minnesota

Montana

MT-01 U.S. House

Open seat (GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke retiring); Republican Aaron Flint and Democrat Sam Forstag won their June 2 primaries in this western Montana district.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

North Carolina

NC-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Don Davis defends a redrawn, GOP-leaning eastern district against Republican Laurie Buckhout.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RLaurie Buckhout$3.8M · $1.8M COHwon · 38.73%
  • DDon Davis· inc$4.3M · $3.6M COHwon
  • LBAILEY, TOM
  • RBUCK, ASA BRYANT III$339K · $0 COH
  • RHANIG, BOBBY$361K · $237 COH
  • RROBERSON, SANDY$3.5M · $23K COH
  • RROUSE, ERIC
  • RRUSSELL, ASHLEY NICOLE$222K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
NC-11 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Chuck Edwards faces Democrat Jamie Ager, a farmer, in western North Carolina.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Nebraska

NE-2 U.S. House

Open seat as Republican Don Bacon retires; Democrat Denise Powell faces Republican Brinker Harding in the Omaha-based swing district.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 12 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

New Hampshire

NH-1 U.S. House

Open seat as Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas runs for Senate; Democrats Stefany Shaheen and Heath Howard lead a crowded September primary field.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Sep 8 · results›
  • RAnthony DiLorenzo$2.5M · $189K COHwon · 51%
  • DStefany Shaheen$2.4M · $604K COHwon
  • DPAPPAS, CHRIS· inc$15M · $4.3M COH
  • RBAILEY, MELISSA$211K · $116K COH
  • DBERIONT, CARLEIGH$587K · $53K COH
  • RBRIGHT, CHRIS$25K · $1K COH
  • DCHADZYNSKI, SARAH$107K · $749 COH
  • RCOLE, BRIAN$486K · $9K COH
  • RGIRARD, ELIZABETH$178K · $0 COH
  • DSULLIVAN, MAURA CORBY$3.6M · $790K COH
  • DURRUTIA, CHRISTIAN$1.2M · $70K COH
  • DHeath Howard$55K · $11K COHlost
  • RHollie Noveletsky$589K · $143K COHlost
Race & money →Source ↗

New Jersey

NJ-7 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Tom Kean Jr., unopposed in the GOP primary, faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett, a Navy veteran who emerged from a large June 2 field, in one of the nation's most closely divided battlegrounds.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 2 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

New Mexico

Nevada

NV-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Dina Titus, a top GOP target, faces Republican state Sen. Carrie Buck in her Las Vegas district.

Likely D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DDina Titus· inc$1.5M · $1.3M COHwon · 79%
  • RCarrie Buck$1.9M · $654K COHwon · 78%
  • RARNOLD, MARIE ENCAR ARANA
  • RBLOCKEY, JIM$22K · $474 COH
  • RBORIS, MICHAEL$78K · $63K COH
  • DCORNEJO, GABRIEL
  • RGURNER, ROY WILLIAM MR
  • RHANOFF, KEITH$32K · $0 COH
  • DHOOVER, JOY$82K · $544 COH
  • OHOUSTON, J E II
  • IKHAN, AFZAL$86K · $3K COH
  • RMARCHANT, JIM$5K · $0 COH
  • DPANIAGUA, LUIS
  • DPERESZLENYI, ALEX$9K · $0 COH
  • RSAGE, RICK
  • ITHOMAS, ANTHONY MR JR.
Race & money →Source ↗
NV-3 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Susie Lee defends a perennial swing seat against Trump-backed Republican Marty O'Donnell.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 9 · results›
  • DSusie Lee· inc$4.4M · $3.7M COHwon · 73%
  • RMarty O'Donnell$4.1M · $2.4M COHwon · 44%
  • RANDERSON, TERA$320K · $27K COH
  • RBRANDLIN, CHRISTOPHER PAUL$191K · $0 COH
  • RDOMINGUEZ, LYDIA$27K · $0 COH
  • RGUNTER, JEFF DR.$809K · $6K COH
  • DHUTCHINSON, SEAN WILLIAM
  • RKENNEDY, RONDA$350K · $261K COH
  • DLALLY, JAMES DR.$1.3M · $38K COH
  • RLONDON, STEVEN$42K · $0 COH
  • RNAGY, AURY$1.1M · $746K COH
  • RPARKER, LUCENA
  • DROBINSON, TERRILL$3K · $3K COH
  • RSHOAF, ELGIN LEDESMA
  • RWALTERS, JOSHUA$48K · $0 COH
  • DWEST, BRANDON
Race & money →Source ↗

New York

NY-4 U.S. House

Freshman Democratic Rep. Laura Gillen defends her Long Island seat against Republican Jeanine Driscoll.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
  • DLaura Gillen· inc$5.1M · $3.8M COHwon
  • RJeanine Driscoll$265K · $226K COHwon
  • DBIERRIA-ANDERSON, KIANA$27K · $9K COH
  • DDARLING, TAYLOR R$34K · $2K COH
  • DJONES, GIAN A$7K · $12K COH
  • DLOZADA, FRANK
  • RMANDEL, MICHAEL
  • RMCGRATH, DENNIS JOSEPH MR.$10K · $1K COH
  • RMILLER, BRIAN
  • DSCIRETTA, NICHOLAS JUDE$7 · $7 COH
  • RSUBER WILLIAMS, MARVIN$137K · $1K COH
  • ITARNOFF, BLAY$25K · $0 COH
Race & money →Source ↗
NY-17 U.S. House

Two-term Republican Rep. Mike Lawler defends this Hudson Valley swing seat against Democrat Cait Conley, a West Point graduate and Army veteran who won a competitive June 23 primary, in a marquee toss-up.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Jun 23 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Ohio

OH-1 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman defends his Cincinnati-based seat against Republican Eric Conroy, a former CIA officer.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • DGreg Landsman· inc$4.6M · $3.6M COHwon
  • REric Conroy$1.5M · $474K COHwon
  • RADAMS, HOLLY$413K · $0 COH
  • RERBECK, STEVEN$805K · $24K COH
  • DFERREIRA, LINDSEY MARIE
  • LHANCOCK, JOHN DAVID JR$1K · $1K COH
  • DLYNCH, DAMON IV$14K · $4K COH
  • ROGLESBY-HENRY, ROSEMARY$44K · $186 COH
  • LSTOOPS, JASON DWIGHT
Race & money →Source ↗
OH-9 U.S. House

Longtime Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur, the longest-serving woman in congressional history, faces a rematch with Republican Derek Merrin, who won a five-way May 5 GOP primary, after narrowly beating him in this Toledo-area toss-up in 2024.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 5 · results›
  • RDerek Merrin$1.5M · $531K COHwon · 44.1%
  • DMarcy Kaptur· inc$4.3M · $3.5M COHwon
  • RCAMPBELL, ANTHONY BRUCE$34K · $7K COH
  • RFROST, JACOB THOMAS MR.
  • LGEDERT, DAVID EDWARD
  • RKINSEL, WAYNE CHARLES$91K · $33K COH
  • WMCKINSTRY, KATHY
  • RNADEEM, ALEA$750K · $0 COH
  • RJosh Williamslost · 25.3%
  • RMadison Sheahanlost · 20.2%
Race & money →Source ↗

Pennsylvania

PA-1 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick faces Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie (D) in a Biden-won district.

Likely R
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
  • RBrian Fitzpatrick· inc$6.7M · $6.4M COHwon
  • DBob Harvie$2.0M · $795K COHwon
  • IHOBAN, JOHN J
  • DHUNT, TRACY$44K · $4K COH
  • LREMMEY, JAMIE FROST
  • DSIMONELLI, LUCIA DORA$94K · $5K COH
  • DSTRICKLER, ROBERT J$26K · $-6576 COH
  • DTAFT, THOMAS PRINDLE MR.
  • DWAGNER, WILLIAM WARREN JR
  • DZELTAKALNS, MICHAEL$7K · $7K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
PA-7 U.S. House

Freshman Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, who ousted Democrat Susan Wild in 2024 with just over 50% in the Lehigh Valley, faces Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighters' union president who won a four-way May 19 primary with 41%. One of the purest toss-ups in the country.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
PA-10 U.S. House

A 2024 rematch: Republican Rep. Scott Perry faces former TV news anchor Janelle Stelson (D), who won the Democratic primary over Justin Douglas 67.5%-32.5%. Handicappers rate the Harrisburg-area seat a toss-up and one of the most vulnerable GOP-held districts.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · May 19 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Texas

TX-28 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar faces Republican Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina in a South Texas border seat.

Lean D
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • RTano Tijerina$1.4M · $768K COHwon · 74%
  • DHenry Cuellar· inc$2.2M · $1.1M COHwon · 58%
  • ABENAVIDES, GEORGE ANDREW MR
  • RDAY, EILEEN
  • GDURAN, MARLON GERARDO MX.
  • RESPARZA, JUAN$32K · $0 COH
  • ILOPEZ, ADRIEL VENTURA
  • DTREVINO, RYAN
  • DVANTINE, CHAUNCE ANDREW
  • DVILLARREAL, RICARDO$68K · $22K COH
Race & money →Source ↗
TX-34 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez defends this South Texas toss-up against Republican Eric Flores, a former assistant U.S. attorney with Trump's endorsement who won the March 3 GOP primary outright, beating former Rep. Mayra Flores.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Mar 3 · results›
  • DVicente Gonzalez· inc$3.8M · $2.5M COHwon · 62.7%
  • REric Flores$2.9M · $686K COHwon · 56.6%
  • RALLEN, KEITH$157K · $0 COH
  • RBUENTELLO, LUIS F$45K · $-1812 COH
  • GESPINOZA, EDDIE
  • RFLORES, MAYRA NOHEMI$1.4M · $1K COH
  • RGARZA, MAURO EVERETT MR.$13K · $0 COH
  • RHINOJOSA, ALFREDO JR.$36K · $0 COH
  • RKUNKLE, GREGORY SCOTT JR.$9K · $1K COH
  • RMANDEL, CHARLES$1.0M · $55K COH
  • RMORALES, MARIO ALBERTO$16K · $0 COH
  • RNAGY, JAY$15K · $0 COH
  • DROSAS, ETIENNE PH.D.$170K · $17K COH
  • DEtienne Rosaslost · 37.3%
  • RMayra Floreslost · 23.7%
Race & money →Source ↗

Virginia

VA-1 U.S. House

Republican Rep. Rob Wittman awaits an August primary in which seven Democrats, led by prosecutor Shannon Taylor, compete to challenge him.

Lean R
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗
VA-2 U.S. House

This coastal Hampton Roads seat is a genuine toss-up (Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections) as GOP Rep. Jen Kiggans seeks a third term. Four Democrats compete in the Aug. 4 primary, with former Rep. Elaine Luria the frontrunner, setting up a potential Kiggans-Luria rematch.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
  • RJen Kiggans· inc$6.0M · $3.4M COHwon
  • DElaine Luria$4.7M · $3.6M COHwon
  • IALBRITTON, DEVINCHE JAVON
  • DOSYF, JAMES$413K · $79K COH
  • DSLEISTER, NICOLAUS$5K · $0 COH
  • ISTATEN, GERAL DEFRANCE MR
  • DSTRICKLER, MATT$313K · $115K COH
  • DSTRINGFELLOW, JOHN BURK
  • DWILLIAMSON, MICHAEL$353K · $0 COH
  • DBill Fleming$55K · $11K COHlost
  • DNila Devanath$286K · $20K COHlost
  • DPatrick Mosolf$169K · $101K COHlost
  • RWilliam Matthewslost
Race & money →Source ↗

Washington

WA-3 U.S. House

Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez heads into an August top-two primary with Republican state Sen. John Braun the leading challenger.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 4 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗

Wisconsin

WI-3 U.S. House

This western Wisconsin district (Trump +7.5 in 2024) became a toss-up after Cook shifted it from Lean R, as GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term. Democrat Rebecca Cooke is making a third run, a rematch after losing by under three points in 2024, and faces Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge in the Aug. 11 primary.

Toss-up
General · Nov 3
Primary · Aug 11 · results›
Race & money →Source ↗